Movies · resolved market
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46620017a5d0b53af811d41d17e972d9ba5bb5daf524f75dca406c2987318ceb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a9c…b3c1backed Yes | 0c | 23,867$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…5181backed Yes | 3c | 20,513$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.81 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…fe91backed Yes | 0c | 16,515$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd214…7d30backed Yes | 0c | 12,717$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 0c | 10,680$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 2c | 4,308$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…a11ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,216$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 7c | 2,883$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.36 | 170 | 17.1%29 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055f…19d7backed Yes | 1c | 2,778$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4490…54d7backed Yes | 16c | 1,613$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 23c | 1,600$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 28c | 986.64$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.56 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 3c | 958.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…2867backed Yes | 5c | 763.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a4…3fe9backed Yes | 3c | 747.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Yes | 35c | 701.42$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f2…6c8ebacked Yes | 30c | 430.09$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -70%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed No | 66c | 415.44$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.08 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked Yes | 34c | 399.43$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.81 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 72c | 387.94$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.83 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 4c | 350.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8eb…8473backed Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 20c | 290.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 6c | 287.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 30c | 270$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 31c | 222.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…b45fbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bef…3b06backed No | 72c | 200.09$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 10c | 188.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…ebe5backed Yes | 30c | 166.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 8c | 157.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9393…18cfbacked Yes | 11c | 156$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Yes | 29c | 148.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 14c | 139.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 74c | 139.08$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 73c | 126$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +120.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 75c | 125.54$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…883abacked No | 67c | 123$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed Yes | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 28c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 108 | 30.6%33 W · 75 L | -13.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…8d83backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 29c | 97.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed Yes | 24c | 93.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 15c | 81.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Yes | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…7627backed Yes | 34c | 66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e16…7f14backed Yes | 36c | 65.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb679…bd5ebacked No | 71c | 63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked Yes | 21c | 59.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…d13ebacked Yes | 32c | 59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 34c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -7.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…ea5cbacked No | 74c | 53.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…e37abacked Yes | 28c | 52.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e5…99f9backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65d…b385backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…a889backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…d0e5backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…9065backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8e…5b53backed No | 72c | 48.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +286.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 77c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab80…af18backed No | 70c | 45.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 70c | 27.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 77c | 17.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?this page
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?Yes won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.