Venezuela · resolved market
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2f39ac5ff8b5afd9b1fa57f123750e10d9cdb0edb5df93c653056f3b603787e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca5…81e9backed No | 0c | 7,480$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…84ccbacked No | 1c | 2,101$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 69c | 2,081$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.75 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 29c | 1,687$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.65 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x66c7…4a3ebacked No | 2c | 1,626$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…340cbacked No | 30c | 1,541$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed No | 22c | 1,400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 65c | 1,184$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f33…a8f6backed Yes | 69c | 1,169$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 68c | 1,062$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed No | 32c | 1,054$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e16…52d2backed No | 4c | 960.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 13c | 881.26$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1091…a259backed No | 3c | 849.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…0211backed Yes | 70c | 846.25$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed No | 21c | 832.83$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 2c | 816.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…dbcabacked Yes | 69c | 800$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 792.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 27c | 775.27$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda8b…5118backed No | 2c | 541.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…9b33backed No | 19c | 540$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb162…583dbacked No | 2c | 512.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed No | 33c | 505.67$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 36c | 501.85$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…a0d7backed Yes | 69c | 499.74$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 4c | 496.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 33c | 490$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 79c | 480$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 13c | 467.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f7…15febacked No | 22c | 457.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 7c | 402.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Yes | 71c | 402$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…09bfbacked Yes | 67c | 385$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…7934backed No | 33c | 383.37$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ba…f79ebacked Yes | 79c | 372.82$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc3…dbfcbacked Yes | 67c | 360$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 30c | 351.44$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…dbcbbacked Yes | 71c | 350$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa855…5fbabacked Yes | 70c | 324.29$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 10c | 299.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked Yes | 70c | 299.98$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 34c | 299.96$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 18c | 295.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…3239backed No | 33c | 286.48$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 8c | 283.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cef…0d49backed Yes | 69c | 282.49$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…5972backed No | 5c | 240.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 15c | 207$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…a307backed No | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bbadbacked Yes | 65c | 199.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415a…34b7backed Yes | 64c | 194.55$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9357…81ddbacked No | 35c | 182.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…842fbacked Yes | 66c | 176$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…4e2fbacked Yes | 65c | 173.96$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x296e…e0e1backed No | 34c | 172.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 7c | 170$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed No | 34c | 155.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…6e9bbacked No | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 66c | 149.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5237…f5a1backed Yes | 67c | 149.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…b886backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +8.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9612…3cadbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…f4adbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29dc…75dabacked No | 13c | 114.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Yes | 67c | 111.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…b64dbacked No | 27c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 29c | 103$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 65c | 101$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…489dbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 66c | 97.68$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…fa80backed No | 37c | 94.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c20…64a2backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…bd13backed Yes | 70c | 71.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed No | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…ce30backed No | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 64c | 59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…a086backed No | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c6…b9a7backed No | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d32…8a6fbacked No | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked No | 33c | 53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac72…462dbacked Yes | 76c | 52.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…c078backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2900…5479backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.4wins | +0.34per pick | 54cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…5c3ebacked Yes | 70c | 44.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1da…d1e2backed No | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…35a9backed Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a8…bcf2backed No | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…a73fbacked Yes | 78c | 38.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.