TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Christian McCaffrey be the Top Fantasy Running Back for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,365

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,784 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed No0c10,974$29 inLost-$28.595679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes10c1,014$102 inWon+$911.2918629.6%55 W · 131 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed No74c299.33$222 inLost-$221.793148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c72…1e3abacked Yes24c231.81$55 inWon+$176.463946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd94…0b01backed Yes49c171.96$84 inWon+$87.716139.1%63 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x331b…193fbacked Yes61c137.82$84 inWon+$53.891060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes57c132.13$75 inWon+$56.9264747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes57c132$75 inWon+$56.9120238.6%78 W · 124 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf961…62bbbacked Yes17c121.2$21 inWon+$100.121118.2%2 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39b6…e6e7backed Yes24c104.2$25 inWon+$79.22748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29dc…75dabacked Yes15c100$15 inWon+$852458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf503…39e2backed Yes23c95.11$22 inWon+$72.941735.3%6 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick23cpaid-6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0025…6ca8backed Yes54c92.94$50 inWon+$42.943762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No45c75.12$34 inLost-$34.072751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce5…3e52backed Yes62c50$31 inWon+$192360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca6e…ce7abacked No46c43.48$20 inLost-$2050%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ecc…1d30backed No47c21.7$10 inLost-$10.32955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.