UFC · resolved market

UFC 323: Barboza vs. Turner (Lightweight, Early Prelims)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc7d22e0ccaffea93d5996eb2fb721b218874fad5ced2b8a5f3e9e537039ff22

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Turnerof Barboza, Turner
Resolved: Dec 6, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $129,398
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $130,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,398 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdbad…9c95backed Barboza	19c	10,596$2,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,013.22	191	54.5%104 W · 87 L	+14.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Barboza	20c	10,556$2,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,085.76	222	59.5%132 W · 90 L	+15.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Barboza	20c	9,771$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Barboza	19c	7,227$1,373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,373.13	89	40.4%36 W · 53 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Barboza	20c	6,100$1,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,220	358	26%93 W · 265 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Turner	80c	5,945$4,756 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,188.95	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked Turner	79c	5,743$4,538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,205.22	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Turner	80c	5,555$4,444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,111	288	49.7%143 W · 145 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Barboza	20c	5,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.99	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb277…0aaabacked Barboza	19c	4,736$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899.84	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Turner	75c	4,228$3,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,068.35	57	75.4%43 W · 14 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	67cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Turner	80c	3,523$2,806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$717.06	56	57.1%32 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Barboza	24c	3,385$815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$815.02	905	53.6%485 W · 420 L	+46.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5810…0f18backed Barboza	19c	3,200$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.99	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+713.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Barboza	20c	3,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	134	53%71 W · 63 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Turner	80c	3,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	267	43.8%117 W · 150 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Barboza	16c	2,700$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.44	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Barboza	20c	2,228$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.25	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Barboza	18c	2,187$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.18	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Barboza	20c	2,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	309	64.7%200 W · 109 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Turner	80c	1,750$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350	111	40.5%45 W · 66 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Barboza	14c	1,518$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.59	40	40%16 W · 24 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Turner	80c	1,447$1,158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.42	280	43.2%121 W · 159 L	+10.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Barboza	24c	1,387$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.45	124	46.8%58 W · 66 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Barboza	18c	1,254$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.72	82	20.7%17 W · 65 L	-12.6wins	-0.15per pick	36cpaid	-48%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked Barboza	19c	1,253$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.09	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	42cpaid	+55.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Turner	80c	1,200$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	72	37.5%27 W · 45 L	-5.5wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Turner	80c	1,142$914 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.4	185	60%111 W · 74 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Turner	80c	1,000$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	332	53.3%177 W · 155 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01a1…88f3backed Barboza	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x467e…4343backed Barboza	23c	1,000$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c62…d8d6backed Barboza	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Barboza	19c	999.75$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.45	109	28.4%31 W · 78 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb61d…74d2backed Barboza	26c	979.3$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.62	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Barboza	16c	893.11$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.87	145	30.3%44 W · 101 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Barboza	17c	886.72$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.51	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Barboza	25c	815.92$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+19%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x306a…0d29backed Turner	78c	700$546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.9wins	-0.37per pick	62cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Barboza	22c	670.72$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.13	180	38.9%70 W · 110 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Turner	80c	650$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130	53	62.3%33 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a2…4a7ebacked Turner	78c	641.03$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.03	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30b8…f41fbacked Barboza	26c	597.04$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.26	77	36.4%28 W · 49 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Barboza	21c	519.08$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.01	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Turner	79c	506.33$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.33	155	52.3%81 W · 74 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f08…a742backed Turner	79c	500$394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.96	10	60%6 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Barboza	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3efb…caf2backed Barboza	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Barboza	19c	500$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-17%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed Barboza	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	30cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Turner	79c	500$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	356	64.6%230 W · 126 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Barboza	21c	499.97$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.99	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Barboza	22c	499.8$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.96	68	29.4%20 W · 48 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0174…f66fbacked Barboza	21c	476.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.15	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed Barboza	21c	428.57$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed Barboza	19c	400$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.34per pick	54cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6941…efd5backed Turner	75c	399.77$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.77	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c2…a50ebacked Turner	76c	394.74$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.74	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	-10.5wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Turner	78c	336.39$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.01	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Turner	80c	300$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	136	36%49 W · 87 L	-13.8wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Barboza	24c	295.83$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	46	65.2%30 W · 16 L	+4.6wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Barboza	7c	275$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	124	49.2%61 W · 63 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe88…f1eabacked Barboza	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Turner	80c	258$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.6	101	49.5%50 W · 51 L	+5.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd913…c45dbacked Barboza	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4579…9f19backed Barboza	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0234…62dabacked Barboza	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Barboza	20c	245$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	261	40.6%106 W · 155 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Barboza	18c	228.92$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.21	165	43.6%72 W · 93 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Barboza	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Turner	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	215	54.4%117 W · 98 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Barboza	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.2	159	39.6%63 W · 96 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Barboza	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Turner	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	522	52.9%276 W · 246 L	+15.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Turner	73c	191.67$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.75	366	55.2%202 W · 164 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed0…92debacked Barboza	6c	169.17$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	122	45.1%55 W · 67 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee44…0082backed Barboza	19c	157.89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2843…b3d2backed Barboza	23c	150$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	211	44.1%93 W · 118 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Barboza	9c	150$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	93	36.6%34 W · 59 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Barboza	25c	150$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	148	27%40 W · 108 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Barboza	21c	142.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.28per pick	57cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Barboza	19c	131$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.89	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f47…e169backed Barboza	27c	129.63$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Turner	70c	128.33$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.5	122	62.3%76 W · 46 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Barboza	20c	117.49$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	223	34.1%76 W · 147 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Barboza	30c	116.67$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	324	31.8%103 W · 221 L	-9.6wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x103d…b4a9backed Barboza	27c	111.11$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.8wins	-0.35per pick	47cpaid	-83.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Turner	72c	107.59$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.62	70	52.9%37 W · 33 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8aaf…c132backed Barboza	20c	106.5$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.3	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Barboza	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-5.8wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Barboza	24c	104.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Barboza	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	248	62.5%155 W · 93 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01f…5499backed Barboza	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.25per pick	45cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cdd…11bebacked Barboza	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ac…7805backed Barboza	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda7…3e66backed Barboza	21c	99.98$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.9	73	50.7%37 W · 36 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Barboza	18c	83$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.65	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Barboza	17c	76.92$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.08	104	51.9%54 W · 50 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76fd…af65backed Barboza	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	72	37.5%27 W · 45 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Turner	80c	72.5$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.5	166	55.4%92 W · 74 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddff…b4b1backed Barboza	20c	69.95$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.99	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.25per pick	42cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC 323: Barboza vs. Turner (Lightweight, Early Prelims)this page
Fight to Go the Distance?No won
O/U 0.5 RoundsUnder won
O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
Will Jalin Turner win by KO or TKO?Yes won
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
Will the fight be won by submission?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC 323: Barboza vs. Turner (Lightweight, Early Prelims)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event