CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91749d5e3714792b77f56a573612b9de2959061a1732d3c3c4dee0f51519270f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof FURIA, Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed FURIA | 48c | 26,348$12,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,720.78 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde92…5e10backed FURIA | 38c | 21,288$8,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,082.03 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vitality | 54c | 18,034$9,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,292.32 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Vitality | 46c | 14,138$6,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,571.75 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Vitality | 45c | 12,243$5,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,733.53 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Vitality | 48c | 11,898$5,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,173.9 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked FURIA | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked FURIA | 54c | 5,581$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014.9 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked Vitality | 61c | 4,985$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.54 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Vitality | 48c | 4,910$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.46 | 646 | 52.8%341 W · 305 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed FURIA | 17c | 4,351$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.46 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2245…d89abacked FURIA | 51c | 4,160$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Vitality | 46c | 3,927$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.96 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked FURIA | 52c | 3,659$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.93 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Vitality | 58c | 3,624$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.31 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Vitality | 48c | 3,554$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.03 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed FURIA | 34c | 3,500$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Vitality | 63c | 2,493$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.89 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed FURIA | 25c | 2,189$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.83 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Vitality | 77c | 1,968$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.54 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked FURIA | 55c | 1,818$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.38 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -12.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Vitality | 44c | 1,796$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.99 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed FURIA | 43c | 1,271$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.22 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed FURIA | 55c | 1,136$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.8 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8e…b1c7backed FURIA | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked FURIA | 57c | 1,020$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.31 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…efddbacked FURIA | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…ba94backed FURIA | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcc…25e1backed Vitality | 77c | 970.45$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.2 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed FURIA | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FURIA | 2c | 931.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed FURIA | 52c | 900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…3965backed FURIA | 55c | 896.86$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Vitality | 58c | 819$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.29 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed Vitality | 51c | 780.13$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.67 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed FURIA | 53c | 770.69$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.47 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -20.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked FURIA | 42c | 694.34$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…f533backed Vitality | 74c | 630$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed FURIA | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed FURIA | 35c | 599.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed FURIA | 34c | 590$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked FURIA | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Vitality | 65c | 554.51$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.08 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…45debacked FURIA | 54c | 532.85$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.69 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked FURIA | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed FURIA | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866f…d410backed FURIA | 30c | 485$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.45 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…63d2backed FURIA | 31c | 400$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Vitality | 52c | 385$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…5e86backed FURIA | 47c | 355.31$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…7f58backed Vitality | 53c | 333.01$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.51 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Vitality | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed FURIA | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Vitality | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Vitality | 53c | 275.34$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.41 | 264 | 61%161 W · 103 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda9…35c9backed FURIA | 55c | 270.91$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644e…ff58backed FURIA | 54c | 252$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.94 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed FURIA | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568a…add0backed FURIA | 27c | 235.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a16…867dbacked Vitality | 61c | 233.01$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f87…c701backed FURIA | 42c | 233$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba9…8920backed FURIA | 21c | 230.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…df49backed FURIA | 46c | 230$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Vitality | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 355 | 45.1%160 W · 195 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4275…cee7backed FURIA | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Vitality | 64c | 207$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…bbdbbacked Vitality | 67c | 203.03$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa01d…bb78backed FURIA | 53c | 202.53$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed Vitality | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…c17fbacked Vitality | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed FURIA | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed FURIA | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd4…a6f6backed FURIA | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked FURIA | 54c | 183.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vitality | 65c | 180.43$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed FURIA | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Vitality | 53c | 170.34$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.06 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…bf68backed FURIA | 54c | 160.82$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.83 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -6.1wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3e86…c2cfbacked Vitality | 68c | 156.31$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked FURIA | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Vitality | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 166 | 49.4%82 W · 84 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x883b…82c6backed FURIA | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675d…8f7abacked FURIA | 36c | 148.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked FURIA | 40c | 142$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…487dbacked FURIA | 50c | 139.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed FURIA | 36c | 138.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa1…9a80backed FURIA | 48c | 134.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed FURIA | 55c | 132.73$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…e6a8backed Vitality | 46c | 125.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed FURIA | 48c | 124.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed FURIA | 54c | 124.07$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Vitality | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed FURIA | 55c | 117.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 692 | 53.6%371 W · 321 L | -23.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d06…9aefbacked Vitality | 52c | 115.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…2eccbacked FURIA | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed FURIA | 28c | 107.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0878…8757backed FURIA | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e6…53b2backed Vitality | 58c | 103.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked Vitality | 78c | 102.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked FURIA | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 213 | 43.7%93 W · 120 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3)FURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.