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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof FURIA, Vitality
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,834
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,834 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72aa…90e0backed Vitality50c4,222$2,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,115.814,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed FURIA39c3,972$1,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,429.198446.4%39 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Vitality44c3,900$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.391,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e2…826cbacked FURIA60c3,032$1,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.28342.2%35 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Vitality68c2,929$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00018051.1%92 W · 88 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Vitality49c2,453$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.991,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed FURIA50c1,641$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.5910748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3719…2df0backed FURIA39c1,555$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.132147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Vitality55c1,360$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.7133043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fdf…ec4bbacked FURIA67c1,335$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.424850%24 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Vitality29c1,216$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.883,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Vitality61c1,210$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.5558961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Vitality72c1,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72057647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed FURIA47c985.94$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.94650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Vitality42c950$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3996336.5%23 W · 40 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3df5…b34abacked Vitality57c869.98$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.892544%11 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked FURIA44c865$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.43458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed Vitality40c796$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.4810252%53 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8860…4708backed Vitality50c685.06$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.192556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed FURIA41c655.98$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.61,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a37…869bbacked Vitality32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007552%39 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed FURIA42c592.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.225352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Vitality53c535.94$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.9464652.8%341 W · 305 L+26.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d8e…b1c7backed Vitality65c523.08$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3404551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed FURIA59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20546340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Vitality57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28558651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Vitality69c492.14$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.5835341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Vitality3c450$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.791,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1182…b6bbbacked FURIA70c443.96$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.0112351.2%63 W · 60 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb98a…0550backed FURIA62c425.31$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.621637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed FURIA58c409.34$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9216449.4%81 W · 83 L-20.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Vitality28c392.1$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.761,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6590…ad78backed Vitality40c375$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.632123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9eea…2625backed Vitality31c321.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012641.3%52 W · 74 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Vitality65c318.46$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20735550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Vitality62c309$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7628453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc9f…45debacked Vitality62c306.88$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.669341.9%39 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Vitality42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1265040%20 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed FURIA65c293.74$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.873551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed FURIA44c284.3$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2135545.1%160 W · 195 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f87…c701backed FURIA34c281.66$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.891850%9 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+82.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked FURIA36c264$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.8683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f21…fa6dbacked FURIA43c232.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.79450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a87…6548backed Vitality65c214.88$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Vitality49c204.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022253.2%118 W · 104 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef1a…d048backed FURIA44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11211558.3%67 W · 48 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2615…6c59backed Vitality34c200$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67230%0 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea7a…446bbacked Vitality56c179.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.426141%25 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f31…63d2backed Vitality48c175.44$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7140%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b15…a031backed FURIA43c172.09$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0922554.7%123 W · 102 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x75fc…ee34backed Vitality62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf58d…914abacked Vitality62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009252.2%48 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…1b46backed Vitality43c150.38$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.129759.8%58 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ab6…bf68backed Vitality58c144.13$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.442532%8 W · 17 L-6.1wins-0.24per pick56cpaid-36.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Vitality21c135.17$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.863013.3%4 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-36.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x675d…8f7abacked Vitality44c124.06$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.11145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd403…01b7backed Vitality57c123.51$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-51.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf8a2…c111backed Vitality37c122.46$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455731.6%18 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa01d…bb78backed Vitality70c113.92$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.74742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-38.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa50b…ec1dbacked FURIA78c106.55$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.85425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-67.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa2b…adcfbacked FURIA43c104.02$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2917236.6%63 W · 109 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad46…df49backed FURIA46c103.25$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.339631.3%30 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed FURIA59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6945455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Vitality30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019423.7%46 W · 148 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed FURIA42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5810055%55 W · 45 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe962…7a52backed Vitality23c99.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236943.5%30 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7665…f332backed Vitality60c99.78$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.875545.5%25 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa59…aacabacked Vitality64c90$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.29750.5%49 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed FURIA73c88.85$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9920050.5%101 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+37.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Vitality57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013646.3%63 W · 73 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d28…9b1cbacked FURIA49c81.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.713250%16 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Vitality30c75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.519247.9%92 W · 100 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9f…578abacked FURIA43c72$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0413044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x338f…dd63backed FURIA77c72$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.263271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d06…9aefbacked Vitality57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe313…dbd1backed FURIA47c70$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f78…b642backed Vitality29c70$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.65044%22 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54b0…b21dbacked Vitality31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked FURIA51c59.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.466753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e6…53b2backed Vitality57c57.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336050%30 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked FURIA42c56.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.681544.4%362 W · 453 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb027…888fbacked Vitality36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0878…8757backed FURIA38c52.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.891827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x644e…ff58backed FURIA43c52.75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.085147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked FURIA62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921343.7%93 W · 120 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb62e…543bbacked Vitality26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Vitality36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1835454.2%192 W · 162 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1693…bf49backed FURIA47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.55655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd99e…8102backed FURIA38c49.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.191650%8 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd36…873bbacked FURIA42c48.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.124648.8%120 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4401…4ecbbacked FURIA43c43.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.742100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1252…f840backed FURIA61c42.75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.81080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked Vitality49c42.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.714233.8%48 W · 94 L-18.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-32.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x29dc…75dabacked FURIA37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.542100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+129.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9784…e452backed FURIA40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243250%16 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9718…dd82backed FURIA62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.263132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49b6…6fd5backed Vitality32c31.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x644f…c5e9backed Vitality32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103073.3%22 W · 8 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+35.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x8460…af5dbacked Vitality32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f4…e02fbacked Vitality40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.