UFC · resolved market
UFC 322: Cortez vs. Blanchfield (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2169b6fc1e79120e4471589280b0cd5bbc393e85873cdb032769d59be49fe3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blanchfieldof Cortez, Blanchfield
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $351,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $436,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $351,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Blanchfield | 67c | 37,628$25,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,546.27 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Blanchfield | 73c | 31,435$22,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,589.35 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Blanchfield | 73c | 30,097$22,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,008.27 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Cortez | 54c | 22,500$12,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,152.08 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cortez | 27c | 20,789$5,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,588.08 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Blanchfield | 74c | 18,105$13,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,626.24 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Blanchfield | 73c | 15,000$10,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Cortez | 26c | 12,238$3,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.08 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Cortez | 27c | 11,199$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,023.71 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Cortez | 26c | 11,044$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.37 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Cortez | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -12.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Cortez | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…f41fbacked Cortez | 29c | 8,294$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.32 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Blanchfield | 74c | 7,900$5,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Cortez | 29c | 7,436$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.96 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Cortez | 32c | 6,810$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.58 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…c8b0backed Cortez | 25c | 6,314$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Cortez | 54c | 5,784$3,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145.68 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Blanchfield | 65c | 5,700$3,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.5 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…5d4cbacked Cortez | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Cortez | 26c | 4,858$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.21 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…719bbacked Cortez | 27c | 4,849$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Cortez | 54c | 4,752$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.39 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cortez | 27c | 4,696$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.51 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cortez | 26c | 4,230$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.56 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37f0…62f0backed Blanchfield | 73c | 4,110$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Cortez | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +272.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Cortez | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Cortez | 26c | 3,685$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.94 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Cortez | 27c | 3,600$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.01 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Blanchfield | 69c | 3,504$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.96 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cortez | 32c | 3,341$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.93 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Cortez | 31c | 3,180$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.82 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Blanchfield | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Blanchfield | 63c | 2,942$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.35 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Blanchfield | 74c | 2,928$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.84 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Cortez | 27c | 2,800$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Cortez | 27c | 2,553$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.2 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Blanchfield | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Blanchfield | 71c | 2,317$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.37 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Cortez | 31c | 2,270$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Cortez | 27c | 2,226$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Blanchfield | 73c | 2,222$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.94 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Cortez | 26c | 2,174$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.83 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc2…00c7backed Blanchfield | 57c | 2,000$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Blanchfield | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Blanchfield | 78c | 1,924$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.07 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Cortez | 27c | 1,800$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.99 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…6ec8backed Cortez | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Blanchfield | 73c | 1,751$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.3 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Cortez | 54c | 1,602$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Blanchfield | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Cortez | 27c | 1,301$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.3 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Blanchfield | 55c | 1,236$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Blanchfield | 71c | 1,169$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.9 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591b…807cbacked Cortez | 30c | 1,167$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Cortez | 27c | 1,161$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.92 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Blanchfield | 74c | 1,138$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.81 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Cortez | 38c | 1,101$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.51 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9530…ce5abacked Blanchfield | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 55cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…d4ecbacked Cortez | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Cortez | 26c | 1,000$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.86 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Cortez | 25c | 999.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Blanchfield | 70c | 999.98$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Cortez | 35c | 960.8$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.08 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cortez | 42c | 878.24$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Cortez | 28c | 872.14$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.19 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Cortez | 29c | 800$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Blanchfield | 74c | 799.99$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Blanchfield | 49c | 733$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.52 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Blanchfield | 45c | 707.31$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.18 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cortez | 26c | 675.68$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.68 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf455…195bbacked Blanchfield | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c5…90dfbacked Blanchfield | 73c | 673.26$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cortez | 27c | 670.43$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.29 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…efb8backed Blanchfield | 75c | 667.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.64 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Cortez | 27c | 662.58$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Cortez | 23c | 639.65$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.95 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Cortez | 28c | 612.17$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.41 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cortez | 27c | 588.35$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed Blanchfield | 69c | 556.32$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Blanchfield | 72c | 555.69$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.69 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9a…a8d6backed Blanchfield | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Blanchfield | 74c | 546.01$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.96 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x568e…e7b8backed Cortez | 26c | 526.08$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…1778backed Cortez | 27c | 518.52$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Cortez | 27c | 501.05$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.28 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…3e75backed Cortez | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7019…dcefbacked Cortez | 48c | 493.37$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Cortez | 47c | 485.01$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.95 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Blanchfield | 69c | 481.88$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.7 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Blanchfield | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Cortez | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cortez | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Cortez | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…202fbacked Blanchfield | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Cortez | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Blanchfield | 57c | 378.71$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.56 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Cortez | 53c | 376.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.28 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Cortez | 54c | 355.56$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 322: Cortez vs. Blanchfield (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Erin Blanchfield win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Tracy Cortez win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.