TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC 322: Cortez vs. Blanchfield (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blanchfieldof Cortez, Blanchfield
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$351,719
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$436,167

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $351,719 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b15…9b08backed Blanchfield67c37,628$25,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,546.2729151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Blanchfield73c31,435$22,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,589.355440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Blanchfield73c30,097$22,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,008.2722259.5%132 W · 90 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Cortez54c22,500$12,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,152.084835.4%17 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Cortez27c20,789$5,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,588.0816049.4%79 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Blanchfield74c18,105$13,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,626.246346%29 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Blanchfield73c15,000$10,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0504040%16 W · 24 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Cortez26c12,238$3,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,124.0826743.8%117 W · 150 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Cortez27c11,199$3,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,023.714946.9%23 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Cortez26c11,044$2,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,871.376451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Cortez27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7008220.7%17 W · 65 L-12.6wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-48%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Cortez32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30b8…f41fbacked Cortez29c8,294$2,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,395.327736.4%28 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Blanchfield74c7,900$5,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0544245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Cortez29c7,436$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,155.963737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Cortez32c6,810$2,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,145.5816247.5%77 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb373…c8b0backed Cortez25c6,314$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Cortez54c5,784$3,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,145.6820954.1%113 W · 96 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Blanchfield65c5,700$3,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.56240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3d…5d4cbacked Cortez25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25090%0 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked Cortez26c4,858$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.217545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20cb…719bbacked Cortez27c4,849$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-38.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac0d…b006backed Cortez54c4,752$2,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,554.391656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Cortez27c4,696$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.518940.4%36 W · 53 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Cortez26c4,230$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.567233.3%24 W · 48 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37f0…62f0backed Blanchfield73c4,110$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb81…1cf3backed Cortez2c4,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805012%6 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+272.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bdf…64c3backed Cortez27c3,704$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006060%36 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Cortez26c3,685$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.9421044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Cortez27c3,600$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.016533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Blanchfield69c3,504$2,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.9635253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cortez32c3,341$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.934040%16 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Cortez31c3,180$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.8223537%87 W · 148 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Blanchfield53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4101353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+37%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed Blanchfield63c2,942$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.353534.3%12 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Blanchfield74c2,928$2,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.8424356.8%138 W · 105 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Cortez27c2,800$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7563943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked Cortez27c2,553$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.29228.3%26 W · 66 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Blanchfield72c2,500$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70011746.2%54 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Blanchfield71c2,317$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.3753956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb6a…f116backed Cortez31c2,270$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7131861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a54…f7f9backed Cortez27c2,226$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Blanchfield73c2,222$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.9428849.7%143 W · 145 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Cortez26c2,174$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.835244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadc2…00c7backed Blanchfield57c2,000$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.591060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Blanchfield46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08013650%68 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Blanchfield78c1,924$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.073458.8%20 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Cortez27c1,800$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.9923850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2c3…6ec8backed Cortez28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Blanchfield73c1,751$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.3988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick64cpaid+37.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Cortez54c1,602$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.081060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6775…17efbacked Blanchfield71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.451464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+34.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed Cortez27c1,301$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.32630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Blanchfield55c1,236$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Blanchfield71c1,169$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.93053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x591b…807cbacked Cortez30c1,167$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Cortez27c1,161$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.9210928.4%31 W · 78 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Blanchfield74c1,138$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.8117158.5%100 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Cortez38c1,101$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.5122342.2%94 W · 129 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9530…ce5abacked Blanchfield73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701681.3%13 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.26per pick55cpaid+49.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1e5b…d4ecbacked Cortez29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2903315.2%5 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Cortez26c1,000$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.862437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Cortez25c999.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25536745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Blanchfield70c999.98$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.9917850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Cortez35c960.8$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.0837754.6%206 W · 171 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cortez42c878.24$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.37425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-61.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Cortez28c872.14$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.1922144.3%98 W · 123 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7455…93adbacked Cortez29c800$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23219531.8%62 W · 133 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Blanchfield74c799.99$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20839959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Blanchfield49c733$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.5220139.8%80 W · 121 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Blanchfield45c707.31$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.1821247.2%100 W · 112 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Cortez26c675.68$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.6842042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf455…195bbacked Blanchfield74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.681154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c5…90dfbacked Blanchfield73c673.26$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.511163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Cortez27c670.43$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.2918038.9%70 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4594…efb8backed Blanchfield75c667.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.64887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick64cpaid+35.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e9…ee46backed Cortez27c662.58$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked Cortez23c639.65$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.953158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Cortez28c612.17$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.4135826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Cortez27c588.35$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.86837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-41.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb042…14f3backed Blanchfield69c556.32$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Blanchfield72c555.69$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.698058.8%47 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee9a…a8d6backed Blanchfield73c547.95$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.95728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-61.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Blanchfield74c546.01$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.9630964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x568e…e7b8backed Cortez26c526.08$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-54.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ce…1778backed Cortez27c518.52$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1407233.3%24 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed Cortez27c501.05$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.284425%11 W · 33 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-36.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb8d7…3e75backed Cortez54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.4wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-50.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7019…dcefbacked Cortez48c493.37$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.75771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Cortez47c485.01$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9510522.9%24 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Blanchfield69c481.88$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.736655.2%202 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x468f…c2a7backed Blanchfield45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4414045.7%64 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Cortez24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Cortez24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035539.4%140 W · 215 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Cortez33c400$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13218145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf693…202fbacked Blanchfield75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed Cortez26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013450%67 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Blanchfield57c378.71$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.5626451.9%137 W · 127 L+23.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Cortez53c376.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2810961.5%67 W · 42 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Cortez54c355.56$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.