Poker · resolved market
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc837ff11818d6271645b7af1f0a984b3bdf16d0f6dc24eaa6a287dc8b696ff22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Pokerevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $954,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $930,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $954,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 418 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Poker is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Poker | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 3c | 38,782$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 31,949$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.94 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 57c | 29,534$16,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,639.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked No | 13c | 29,123$3,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,828.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6194…e72abacked No | 21c | 22,496$4,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,679.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Yes | 60c | 19,419$11,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,789.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea9…10febacked No | 6c | 18,370$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.82 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 16,536$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.89 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f63…5b31backed No | 37c | 13,300$4,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,974.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed No | 2c | 10,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked No | 9c | 9,930$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed No | 10c | 9,476$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 6c | 8,631$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 1c | 8,111$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2a…1915backed Yes | 63c | 6,800$4,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 69c | 6,713$4,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee08…6923backed Yes | 63c | 6,500$4,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 3c | 6,340$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.51 | 53 | 0%0 W · 53 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Yes | 63c | 6,242$3,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c60…9c5ebacked No | 8c | 6,219$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb30…5057backed Yes | 79c | 6,141$4,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68f…c0f8backed Yes | 79c | 6,016$4,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d04…ba35backed No | 0c | 5,937$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 5c | 5,818$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed No | 1c | 5,722$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 1c | 5,423$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfa…5480backed Yes | 79c | 5,203$4,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…99dabacked Yes | 79c | 5,136$4,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3052…9d3abacked No | 4c | 5,026$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…b8f9backed No | 5c | 4,937$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…d611backed No | 5c | 4,315$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…457fbacked No | 11c | 4,289$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe613…540ebacked No | 2c | 4,100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9bc…d5f1backed No | 3c | 3,957$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3316…9b21backed No | 1c | 3,800$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yes | 69c | 3,596$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.69 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…fa88backed No | 28c | 3,472$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…9991backed No | 1c | 3,400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed No | 3c | 3,350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…cb1ebacked No | 15c | 3,218$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 2c | 3,179$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa218…94cdbacked No | 39c | 3,157$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 76c | 3,012$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Yes | 73c | 2,980$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…04d8backed No | 1c | 2,829$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e07…4dddbacked No | 0c | 2,794$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…2927backed Yes | 77c | 2,579$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 4c | 2,567$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 66c | 2,555$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…9a7fbacked No | 8c | 2,546$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d13…f637backed No | 49c | 2,270$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed No | 19c | 2,230$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…b3febacked No | 6c | 2,100$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x590a…3699backed Yes | 67c | 2,063$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a83…9516backed No | 8c | 2,049$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 67c | 2,018$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4af…e0cbbacked No | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 13c | 1,839$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 1c | 1,821$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 1c | 1,674$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x748f…59d0backed No | 12c | 1,537$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 1c | 1,522$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…ed6fbacked No | 33c | 1,507$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…ea79backed No | 9c | 1,488$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 3c | 1,424$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4598backed No | 14c | 1,416$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1804…bd47backed Yes | 73c | 1,388$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 1c | 1,354$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 4c | 1,310$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1603…301cbacked Yes | 72c | 1,300$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3313…8355backed No | 11c | 1,199$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed No | 1c | 1,184$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed No | 5c | 1,173$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda8c…4f04backed No | 11c | 1,146$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…0016backed No | 9c | 1,141$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…25dbbacked No | 11c | 1,110$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…ed2ebacked No | 11c | 1,085$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed4…ac30backed No | 9c | 1,083$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…5903backed No | 9c | 1,013$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 74c | 1,010$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f2…d8efbacked Yes | 68c | 1,007$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…a303backed No | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed Yes | 65c | 986.93$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…1ed4backed No | 14c | 977.45$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa53…96f7backed No | 12c | 945.67$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed No | 8c | 940.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e2…9631backed No | 58c | 869.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88a…7e26backed No | 3c | 860.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x636b…1987backed No | 12c | 827.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2fa5backed Yes | 60c | 815.57$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…f0bfbacked Yes | 77c | 799.34$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…5633backed Yes | 55c | 794$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ab…47f1backed No | 45c | 794$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e3…39cfbacked No | 45c | 794$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb265…b999backed Yes | 55c | 794$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…efc6backed Yes | 63c | 781.08$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb805…bedfbacked Yes | 64c | 778.2$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb5…8685backed Yes | 80c | 750.15$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked No | 37c | 738.04$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Poker and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 64. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?this page
- Will "Nick Wright" win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will 3 Coin win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Alan Keating win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Andrew Robl win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Brazil God win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Brian Rast win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Bryce Hall win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Bryn Kenney win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Cary Katz win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Charlie Hook win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Chino Rheem win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Chris Moneymaker win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Dan 'Jungleman' Cates win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will David Williams win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Dylan Flashner win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Erick Lindgren win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Erik Seidel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Esther Taylor win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Frank Brannan win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Frank Crivello win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Garrett Adelstein win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Hanks win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Igor Kurganov win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Jason Calacanis win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Jason Koon win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Jasper win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Jesse Lonis win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will John Smith win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Johnnie Vibes win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Jonathan Jaffe win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Josh Arieh win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Justin Gavri win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Justin Young win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Kasey Lyn Mills win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Keith Lehr win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Kevin Pollak win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Kristen Foxen win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Liv Boeree win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Maria Konnikova win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Marius Gierse win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Matt Berkey win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Matt Salsberg win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Mike Matusow win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Nacho Barbero win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Phil Galfond win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Phil Laak win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Ren Lin win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Richard Seymour win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Rob 'Boston Rob' Mariano win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Rob Riggle win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Ryan Feldman win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Scott Seiver win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Sean Winter win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Shaun Deeb win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Stephen Chidwick win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will T.J. Lavin win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.