Poker · resolved market
Will Brian Rast win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95a983bdadc2a32d7ef762debb68ef2778c9a6f606870bd4caeb47aae3eb3858
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Pokerevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,306,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,306,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Poker is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Poker | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa24f…593dbacked Yes | 0c | 60,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…6afbbacked Yes | 0c | 26,786$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed Yes | 0c | 25,799$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 53 | 0%0 W · 53 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e5…2aa0backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe6…b89cbacked Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7cfabacked Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70e8…c013backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1f…a08fbacked Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…1660backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x589f…c4bbbacked Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…80d5backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1928…5bb6backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…5920backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10fe…0a0cbacked Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…1f76backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x277c…a06dbacked Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…e718backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa9…8d26backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49be…2cd2backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2939…1c80backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…7b59backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed92…2c01backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab7…d1f8backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49eb…7fa6backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…2d60backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdd…37d8backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…a149backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef9…968cbacked Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048c…5a66backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed39…f2c1backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x990c…f381backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfb…8032backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422f…9914backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…8891backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb8…24cbbacked Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd182…cdf5backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba76…a36dbacked Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71d5…3a17backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…c1b0backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…b73fbacked Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6969…34b6backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x331d…62d9backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9de…72edbacked Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3610…17a1backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b1…5a47backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e5…f439backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x552f…ec54backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c4…e1c6backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0244…43c6backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6164…ccf8backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…240ebacked Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…ccc9backed Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68b9…2ccdbacked Yes | 0c | 22,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5943…2777backed Yes | 0c | 21,626$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8925…3fdfbacked Yes | 0c | 21,418$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768c…0f5cbacked Yes | 0c | 21,418$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…6011backed Yes | 0c | 21,418$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…6279backed Yes | 0c | 21,418$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…e57fbacked Yes | 0c | 21,418$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5049…9053backed Yes | 0c | 21,418$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc131…a569backed Yes | 0c | 21,418$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd510…b26ebacked Yes | 0c | 21,418$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…f184backed Yes | 0c | 21,418$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6b…ba9fbacked Yes | 0c | 21,418$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…2d4abacked Yes | 0c | 21,418$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafda…d469backed Yes | 0c | 21,418$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff13…888dbacked Yes | 0c | 21,418$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…01b9backed Yes | 0c | 21,418$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a3…2ad7backed Yes | 0c | 21,418$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…6acdbacked Yes | 0c | 21,418$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…2fe1backed Yes | 0c | 21,418$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef0…03b3backed Yes | 0c | 21,418$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c2…9b34backed Yes | 0c | 21,418$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…6d11backed Yes | 0c | 21,418$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x407f…9a37backed Yes | 0c | 21,418$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa7…bf08backed Yes | 0c | 21,418$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f1…b10cbacked Yes | 0c | 21,418$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd378…2a42backed Yes | 0c | 21,418$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d5…33c2backed Yes | 0c | 21,418$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 19,994$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…c86dbacked Yes | 0c | 16,956$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68b2…b9f5backed Yes | 0c | 16,151$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46f…2347backed Yes | 0c | 16,151$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb578…71ebbacked Yes | 0c | 16,151$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa634…ba2ebacked Yes | 0c | 16,151$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb8…0bd6backed Yes | 0c | 16,151$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…dbd4backed Yes | 0c | 16,151$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…1420backed Yes | 0c | 16,151$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c5…81fbbacked Yes | 0c | 16,151$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…3fcabacked Yes | 0c | 16,151$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3b…ba6bbacked Yes | 0c | 16,052$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3aa…5b7fbacked Yes | 0c | 16,051$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffb1…5884backed Yes | 0c | 16,051$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41fe…d1f1backed Yes | 0c | 16,051$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fe…3428backed Yes | 0c | 16,051$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…fdfebacked Yes | 0c | 16,051$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb07…3da5backed Yes | 0c | 16,051$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b0…c10dbacked Yes | 0c | 16,051$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 12,432$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021e…984ebacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Poker and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 64. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brian Rast win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?this page
- Will "Nick Wright" win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will 3 Coin win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Alan Keating win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Andrew Robl win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Brazil God win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Bryce Hall win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Bryn Kenney win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Cary Katz win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Charlie Hook win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Chino Rheem win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Chris Moneymaker win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Dan 'Jungleman' Cates win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will David Williams win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Dylan Flashner win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Erick Lindgren win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Erik Seidel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Esther Taylor win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Frank Brannan win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Frank Crivello win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Garrett Adelstein win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Hanks win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Igor Kurganov win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Jason Calacanis win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Jason Koon win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Jasper win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Jesse Lonis win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will John Smith win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Johnnie Vibes win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Jonathan Jaffe win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Josh Arieh win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Justin Gavri win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Justin Young win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Kasey Lyn Mills win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Keith Lehr win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Kevin Pollak win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Kristen Foxen win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Liv Boeree win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Maria Konnikova win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Marius Gierse win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Matt Berkey win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Matt Salsberg win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Mike Matusow win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Nacho Barbero win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Phil Galfond win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Phil Laak win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Ren Lin win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Richard Seymour win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Rob 'Boston Rob' Mariano win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Rob Riggle win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Ryan Feldman win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Yes won
- Will Scott Seiver win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Sean Winter win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Shaun Deeb win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Stephen Chidwick win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will T.J. Lavin win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.