Poker · resolved market
Will Mike Matusow win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fe421d808e3c54ee305dce8d5c42c7ee45cad7d85208e284da6afec105e77d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Pokerevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,988,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,988,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Poker is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Poker | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65b2…3bedbacked Yes | 0c | 92,971$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef5a…c956backed Yes | 0c | 88,555$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…15b1backed Yes | 0c | 88,461$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…a96cbacked Yes | 0c | 87,243$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa50c…20b3backed Yes | 0c | 81,362$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5b…797dbacked Yes | 0c | 81,274$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2159…9b86backed Yes | 0c | 70,077$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ae…b3adbacked Yes | 0c | 67,689$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d07…9fb9backed Yes | 0c | 67,253$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf687…c861backed Yes | 0c | 63,676$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0903…58e3backed Yes | 0c | 62,141$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…727ebacked Yes | 0c | 58,965$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…ad8cbacked Yes | 0c | 58,446$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31f8…d126backed Yes | 0c | 57,359$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…c839backed Yes | 0c | 57,242$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…9fc0backed Yes | 0c | 57,180$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7d…a359backed Yes | 0c | 57,162$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9b…a39bbacked Yes | 0c | 56,785$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e6…710cbacked Yes | 0c | 56,755$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba9…804dbacked Yes | 0c | 56,696$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9d…4cf9backed Yes | 0c | 56,690$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd280…5cc5backed Yes | 0c | 56,534$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab98…2c25backed Yes | 0c | 56,415$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…cc15backed Yes | 0c | 56,387$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee73…81c0backed Yes | 0c | 56,330$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8360…fdabbacked Yes | 0c | 56,152$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c7…c2acbacked Yes | 0c | 56,120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaa…3320backed Yes | 0c | 56,077$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…d119backed Yes | 0c | 55,905$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ca…033fbacked Yes | 0c | 55,801$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x262f…5f37backed Yes | 0c | 55,708$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9758…cc5bbacked Yes | 0c | 55,561$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8e…0239backed Yes | 0c | 55,282$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…6c03backed Yes | 0c | 52,906$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x926e…6d5abacked Yes | 0c | 46,683$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d8…72a0backed Yes | 0c | 38,236$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…a1fabacked Yes | 0c | 37,517$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…793fbacked Yes | 0c | 37,195$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…0968backed Yes | 0c | 36,963$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…24d7backed Yes | 0c | 36,521$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…7cebbacked Yes | 0c | 35,588$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…bbcfbacked Yes | 0c | 34,860$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c92…b2f6backed Yes | 0c | 34,444$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…d3d0backed Yes | 0c | 34,336$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6c…99edbacked Yes | 0c | 33,949$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0860…4741backed Yes | 0c | 33,617$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba42…6f1fbacked Yes | 0c | 33,420$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccbb…95acbacked Yes | 0c | 33,281$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…1576backed Yes | 0c | 33,191$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5201…79eabacked Yes | 0c | 32,905$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5894…3629backed Yes | 0c | 32,729$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33e…616dbacked Yes | 0c | 32,641$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13cd…d105backed Yes | 0c | 32,524$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf35c…05bfbacked Yes | 0c | 32,288$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8964…d2c1backed Yes | 0c | 32,186$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…84a3backed Yes | 0c | 31,904$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1253…e5dabacked Yes | 0c | 31,248$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be2…2d9dbacked Yes | 0c | 30,553$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…3049backed Yes | 0c | 30,491$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b9…9e4bbacked Yes | 0c | 30,166$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1476…4078backed Yes | 0c | 30,010$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc08b…cdb3backed Yes | 0c | 29,719$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x214d…0331backed Yes | 0c | 29,664$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…439bbacked Yes | 0c | 29,411$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa466…9c24backed Yes | 0c | 29,179$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4cb1backed Yes | 0c | 29,149$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed Yes | 0c | 28,975$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 53 | 0%0 W · 53 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f0…300cbacked Yes | 0c | 27,677$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e6…f91fbacked Yes | 0c | 27,387$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02fb…05a8backed Yes | 0c | 27,358$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c7…db30backed Yes | 0c | 26,744$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5115…9997backed Yes | 0c | 26,512$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf2…89d2backed Yes | 0c | 26,323$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0a…7f48backed Yes | 0c | 25,827$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…0938backed Yes | 0c | 25,245$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d47…edf9backed Yes | 0c | 25,073$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…0d81backed Yes | 0c | 24,864$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ff…283dbacked Yes | 0c | 24,461$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c0…3b44backed Yes | 0c | 24,316$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63d…d12fbacked Yes | 0c | 23,581$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…fd0cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,801$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4230…b1febacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9a…b0cabacked Yes | 0c | 19,847$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…1eb3backed Yes | 0c | 18,762$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Yes | 0c | 11,362$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9dc…4d2fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0e…1741backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 9,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…2cd7backed Yes | 0c | 6,167$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…b8c8backed Yes | 0c | 6,051$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5196…403ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,995$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…6afbbacked Yes | 0c | 5,010$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…ed6fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,994$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…e8bbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,622$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Poker and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 64. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mike Matusow win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?this page
- Will "Nick Wright" win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will 3 Coin win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Alan Keating win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Andrew Robl win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Brazil God win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Brian Rast win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Bryce Hall win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Bryn Kenney win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Cary Katz win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Charlie Hook win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Chino Rheem win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Chris Moneymaker win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Dan 'Jungleman' Cates win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will David Williams win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Dylan Flashner win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Erick Lindgren win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Erik Seidel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Esther Taylor win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Frank Brannan win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Frank Crivello win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Garrett Adelstein win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Hanks win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Igor Kurganov win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Jason Calacanis win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Jason Koon win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Jasper win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Jesse Lonis win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will John Smith win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Johnnie Vibes win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Jonathan Jaffe win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Josh Arieh win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Justin Gavri win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Justin Young win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Kasey Lyn Mills win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Keith Lehr win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Kevin Pollak win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Kristen Foxen win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Liv Boeree win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Maria Konnikova win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Marius Gierse win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Matt Berkey win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Matt Salsberg win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Nacho Barbero win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Phil Galfond win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Phil Laak win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Ren Lin win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Richard Seymour win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Rob 'Boston Rob' Mariano win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Rob Riggle win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Ryan Feldman win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Yes won
- Will Scott Seiver win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Sean Winter win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Shaun Deeb win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Stephen Chidwick win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will T.J. Lavin win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.