Poker · resolved market
Will David Williams win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b7ab4db94da01d99c2b83a1a6a389d2ae57c2147397864f0656afcdd3d02387
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Pokerevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,661,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,661,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Poker is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Poker | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xceb9…ea2dbacked Yes | 0c | 1,494,135$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…104bbacked Yes | 0c | 1,494,135$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee1…0016backed Yes | 0c | 1,454,024$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a2…1e83backed Yes | 0c | 1,454,024$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a54…788ebacked Yes | 0c | 1,450,218$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb5…cdebbacked Yes | 0c | 1,448,218$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…4854backed Yes | 0c | 1,444,480$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…b7e3backed Yes | 0c | 1,404,365$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…e352backed Yes | 0c | 1,333,691$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…6df5backed Yes | 0c | 1,333,691$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab78…3c42backed Yes | 0c | 1,253,469$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…e656backed Yes | 0c | 1,253,469$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…81d4backed Yes | 0c | 1,213,358$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…0017backed Yes | 0c | 1,213,358$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…e074backed Yes | 0c | 1,213,358$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa23…01d0backed Yes | 0c | 1,173,247$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9274…9b8dbacked Yes | 0c | 54,437$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1552…39dfbacked Yes | 0c | 54,437$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9e…ef5cbacked Yes | 0c | 54,437$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…5937backed Yes | 0c | 54,437$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa9…d615backed Yes | 0c | 54,437$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a9…a58ebacked Yes | 0c | 54,437$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0093…bc80backed Yes | 0c | 54,437$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf833…5238backed Yes | 0c | 54,437$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740d…a556backed Yes | 0c | 54,437$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e5…f0bcbacked Yes | 0c | 54,437$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e8…2ff3backed Yes | 0c | 54,437$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39bb…0187backed Yes | 0c | 54,437$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab89…cd97backed Yes | 0c | 54,437$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5557…996cbacked Yes | 0c | 54,437$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x487c…eb3dbacked Yes | 0c | 54,437$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…1c9abacked Yes | 0c | 54,437$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc80e…e5b5backed Yes | 0c | 54,437$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd554…3478backed Yes | 0c | 54,437$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…c3f3backed Yes | 0c | 54,437$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…c680backed Yes | 0c | 54,437$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…c407backed Yes | 0c | 54,437$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5994…c080backed Yes | 0c | 54,437$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…58e8backed Yes | 0c | 54,437$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8652…4ad8backed Yes | 0c | 54,437$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa390…dd2bbacked Yes | 0c | 54,437$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe985…0da2backed Yes | 0c | 54,437$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6d…f649backed Yes | 0c | 54,437$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddd…9d63backed Yes | 0c | 52,147$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…3effbacked Yes | 0c | 52,014$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade9…ed19backed Yes | 0c | 51,847$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0641…d81bbacked Yes | 0c | 51,709$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b2…5e87backed Yes | 0c | 51,244$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…9609backed Yes | 0c | 51,147$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbe…6a22backed Yes | 0c | 50,947$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadde…09c4backed Yes | 0c | 50,714$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…f9cdbacked Yes | 0c | 50,678$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8a…9d06backed Yes | 0c | 50,630$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…0bddbacked Yes | 0c | 50,577$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…1ab0backed Yes | 0c | 50,565$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c13…839ebacked Yes | 0c | 50,491$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd314…648bbacked Yes | 0c | 50,376$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3de…9314backed Yes | 0c | 50,280$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0b…fbb6backed Yes | 0c | 50,247$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…8624backed Yes | 0c | 50,147$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c86…b34fbacked Yes | 0c | 50,141$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68b1…1018backed Yes | 0c | 49,761$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfacb…2088backed Yes | 0c | 49,298$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4b…d2fabacked Yes | 0c | 49,091$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db6…38c4backed Yes | 0c | 48,792$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…e28cbacked Yes | 0c | 48,217$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…db31backed Yes | 0c | 48,206$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4c…e5aabacked Yes | 0c | 47,965$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…163bbacked Yes | 0c | 47,808$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f0…e1dabacked Yes | 0c | 47,719$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb5…95eabacked Yes | 0c | 47,010$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbc…4df9backed Yes | 0c | 46,326$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68bd…192abacked Yes | 0c | 46,317$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b05…d5dbbacked Yes | 0c | 46,305$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…45bbbacked Yes | 0c | 46,121$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf47…c9dabacked Yes | 0c | 46,109$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…b323backed Yes | 0c | 46,091$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8801…a811backed Yes | 0c | 46,079$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…e717backed Yes | 0c | 46,025$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…f4d3backed Yes | 0c | 45,976$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…9384backed Yes | 0c | 45,813$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d2…7a77backed Yes | 0c | 45,645$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649c…591bbacked Yes | 0c | 45,547$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…a0b5backed Yes | 0c | 45,295$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…eef4backed Yes | 0c | 44,920$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…cfb0backed Yes | 0c | 44,434$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…2835backed Yes | 0c | 44,385$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ca…3899backed Yes | 0c | 43,723$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4f…fc95backed Yes | 0c | 42,204$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d361backed Yes | 0c | 41,414$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…693dbacked Yes | 0c | 41,414$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…f402backed Yes | 0c | 41,414$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2553…0da5backed Yes | 0c | 40,434$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a58…71a0backed Yes | 0c | 39,764$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…1f5abacked Yes | 0c | 39,659$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9d…2eeabacked Yes | 0c | 39,132$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…aea8backed Yes | 0c | 39,121$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34e4…3d36backed Yes | 0c | 38,414$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…2a24backed Yes | 0c | 38,111$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…a459backed Yes | 0c | 38,007$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Poker and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 64. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will David Williams win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?this page
- Will "Nick Wright" win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will 3 Coin win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Alan Keating win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Andrew Robl win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Brazil God win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Brian Rast win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Bryce Hall win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Bryn Kenney win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Cary Katz win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Charlie Hook win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Chino Rheem win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Chris Moneymaker win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Dan 'Jungleman' Cates win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Dylan Flashner win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Erick Lindgren win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Erik Seidel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Esther Taylor win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Frank Brannan win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Frank Crivello win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Garrett Adelstein win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Hanks win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Igor Kurganov win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Jason Calacanis win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Jason Koon win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Jasper win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Jesse Lonis win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will John Smith win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Johnnie Vibes win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Jonathan Jaffe win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Josh Arieh win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Justin Gavri win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Justin Young win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Kasey Lyn Mills win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Keith Lehr win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Kevin Pollak win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Kristen Foxen win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Liv Boeree win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Maria Konnikova win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Marius Gierse win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Matt Berkey win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Matt Salsberg win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Mike Matusow win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Nacho Barbero win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Phil Galfond win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Phil Laak win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Ren Lin win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Richard Seymour win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Rob 'Boston Rob' Mariano win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Rob Riggle win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Ryan Feldman win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Yes won
- Will Scott Seiver win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Sean Winter win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Shaun Deeb win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will Stephen Chidwick win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
- Will T.J. Lavin win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.