Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3485e18acd76356363c3c3408a57932cbd3a1106fad9b61d4d1d31c84456fa92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1024…03c5backed No | 1c | 6,729$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…eb89backed No | 38c | 1,192$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.97 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 8c | 1,144$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.53 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 5c | 1,099$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…39b0backed Yes | 58c | 772.88$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.42 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…742dbacked Yes | 75c | 706.94$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.53 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 53c | 691.57$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.67 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc683…010bbacked Yes | 62c | 568.43$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.48 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 47c | 567.77$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.71 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 9c | 561.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…b48fbacked Yes | 78c | 560.7$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5209…b249backed Yes | 65c | 511.04$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 45c | 410.48$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.32 | 101 | 20.8%21 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 35c | 389.98$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.97 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 46c | 379.53$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.79 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…8973backed Yes | 58c | 374.13$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed No | 39c | 364.5$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.91 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 29c | 326.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.43 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 54c | 313.31$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.92 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2be…4a4cbacked Yes | 75c | 312.52$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 48c | 307.57$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.41 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 59c | 306.76$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.96 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed Yes | 60c | 301.3$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7944…ee79backed Yes | 59c | 289.95$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.78 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 54c | 282.31$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.68 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 63c | 277.71$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.71 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 38c | 272.41$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.84 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 37c | 270.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.81 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…f315backed Yes | 43c | 261.28$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.7 | 139 | 30.2%42 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 43c | 246.41$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.42 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 59c | 237.58$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 33c | 235.27$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes | 60c | 233.19$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb62…d14fbacked Yes | 64c | 230$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 58c | 219.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -19.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes | 59c | 214.94$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 55c | 213.67$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 66c | 209.39$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…214bbacked No | 40c | 208.7$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb81…7b82backed No | 53c | 202.24$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.3 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x028d…feccbacked Yes | 59c | 200$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5efb…5e3bbacked Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +47%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0943…1019backed Yes | 48c | 195.66$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…55e1backed Yes | 55c | 194.95$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c39…74a8backed Yes | 61c | 180$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…f49abacked Yes | 55c | 178.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…9a02backed Yes | 54c | 176.9$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.52 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fd…f242backed No | 57c | 176.84$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…dd17backed No | 27c | 173.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 278 | 41%114 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…844fbacked Yes | 61c | 172.79$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad2e…95f1backed Yes | 39c | 171.31$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3774…b424backed No | 38c | 169.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 42c | 162.72$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa654…58c9backed Yes | 60c | 161.24$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 61c | 158.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 47c | 152.74$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bb…b7b9backed No | 66c | 147.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 32c | 146.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 8c | 146.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…044ebacked No | 41c | 145.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece9…d960backed Yes | 67c | 144.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…e5bfbacked Yes | 53c | 144.71$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked No | 45c | 141.81$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…b708backed Yes | 69c | 140.03$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeda…b697backed Yes | 78c | 138.86$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 88 | 72.7%64 W · 24 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 36c | 130.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.71 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfedf…ee2abacked Yes | 36c | 130.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8682…15a9backed Yes | 79c | 130.17$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 37c | 130.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae07…8059backed Yes | 36c | 124.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.91 | 435 | 25.3%110 W · 325 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…c01bbacked Yes | 75c | 123.72$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 63c | 122.61$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0b…30aebacked Yes | 35c | 119.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.66 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7515…0f90backed No | 15c | 115.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 44c | 114.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.46 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe472…4360backed Yes | 48c | 114.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…4a25backed No | 64c | 113.83$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 410 | 70.5%289 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…d1aabacked Yes | 63c | 110.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 51c | 110.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…0ed9backed Yes | 69c | 107.02$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 64c | 105$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd342…1ad9backed Yes | 36c | 103.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…ba22backed Yes | 45c | 103.29$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b58…d734backed Yes | 73c | 101.38$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 50c | 101.17$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaad2…eb4bbacked Yes | 74c | 101$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…5bdebacked Yes | 48c | 100.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27dd…b696backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7e…8a3cbacked No | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Yes | 76c | 99.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 39c | 97.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 57c | 95.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff65…f1cdbacked No | 21c | 92.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 64c | 91.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Yes | 50c | 90.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 55c | 87.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…b0c7backed Yes | 73c | 86.54$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or below on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on April 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.