Weather · resolved market

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 1?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba9147ca93496d7282de1a837da6769639cf63883d142a01dc74538a5c862cb4

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $35,677
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $31,486

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,677 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Weather
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xec3a…a709backed No	71c	1,451$1,033 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.52	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x295b…0f1dbacked Yes	47c	674.38$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.55	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa28…090bbacked Yes	7c	648.93$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.57	2,239	15%335 W · 1,904 L	+54.6wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+24%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes	3c	500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2,267	18%407 W · 1,860 L	-9.5wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	17c	499.92$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.29	7,148	9.3%666 W · 6,482 L	-1,105.8wins	-0.15per pick	25cpaid	-75.9%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes	6c	490.86$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.45	621	9.8%61 W · 560 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd9…bd75backed Yes	23c	475.22$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.31	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No	67c	395.18$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.22	4,120	60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No	63c	383.96$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.72	3,175	62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L	+12.6wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7b9…66aabacked No	76c	377$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.9	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa912…297fbacked No	65c	363.79$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.63	636	56.1%357 W · 279 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b13…62d3backed Yes	31c	336.65$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	1,052	31.2%328 W · 724 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9502…ba22backed Yes	39c	334.9$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.18	111	46.8%52 W · 59 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes	33c	331.07$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.52	101	20.8%21 W · 80 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x860d…fa0cbacked Yes	4c	322.2$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.48	242	16.9%41 W · 201 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83e3…8973backed Yes	75c	307.96$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.08	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes	32c	303.93$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.34	959	33.5%321 W · 638 L	+28.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	11c	302.52$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.73	336	20.2%68 W · 268 L	+24.9wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x044f…d1f1backed No	64c	296.08$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.16	8,162	49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L	+269.7wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc683…010bbacked Yes	33c	291.51$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.85	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+4.3wins	+0.16per pick	49cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6dce…4490backed Yes	5c	290$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	1,285	19.5%250 W · 1,035 L	+44.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes	32c	286.38$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.52	701	33.5%235 W · 466 L	+13.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaba5…9a02backed Yes	34c	283.44$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.62	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes	25c	271.19$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.29	12,498	19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L	-2,667.3wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	26-0.21 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes	20c	232.32$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.93	3,859	23.4%903 W · 2,956 L	+128.4wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bee…7e78backed Yes	32c	230.87$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.53	1,076	23.5%253 W · 823 L	+69.1wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No	73c	224.25$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.23	1,842	63.5%1,170 W · 672 L	-42.5wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	26c	221.95$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.95	6,787	39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L	+256.4wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	37c	218.04$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.66	7,481	37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L	+97.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c4…1513backed Yes	35c	198.68$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.54	143	38.5%55 W · 88 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes	38c	196.22$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.11	3,939	35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L	+35.4wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b5…47bfbacked No	65c	184.6$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.61	176	33.5%59 W · 117 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2347…5adfbacked Yes	43c	182.42$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.79	119	38.7%46 W · 73 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1361…f12bbacked Yes	38c	174.99$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.96	1,924	33.8%651 W · 1,273 L	+29.2wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27cd…c7adbacked Yes	32c	174.21$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.93	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-5.4wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5aad…dc28backed Yes	17c	165.53$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.86	676	33.7%228 W · 448 L	+33.8wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e24…7379backed Yes	24c	160.55$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.79	456	19.1%87 W · 369 L	-11.8wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb242…eb89backed Yes	26c	157.34$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.94	81	49.4%40 W · 41 L	-8.3wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c82…f315backed Yes	27c	153.29$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.44	139	30.2%42 W · 97 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8091…3178backed Yes	32c	152.71$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.87	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade7…3159backed Yes	37c	149.99$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed No	67c	143.61$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.87	185	50.3%93 W · 92 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes	39c	140.86$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.05	237	38%90 W · 147 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31d…b920backed Yes	31c	140.09$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.82	180	35%63 W · 117 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes	20c	139.38$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.77	395	35.4%140 W · 255 L	+7.2wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fbc…4105backed Yes	8c	137.5$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.33	337	26.4%89 W · 248 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa654…58c9backed Yes	34c	136.91$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.71	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a11…648bbacked Yes	46c	134.34$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b1…6754backed Yes	40c	133.51$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.42	354	65%230 W · 124 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd229…fcd6backed Yes	11c	130$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	1,242	16.7%207 W · 1,035 L	-22.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d2…39b0backed Yes	49c	129.34$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.44	71	46.5%33 W · 38 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3182…4ff7backed No	56c	126.43$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.69	141	68.1%96 W · 45 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	71cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes	29c	116$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.64	483	31.3%151 W · 332 L	+20.4wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+90.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes	29c	115.46$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.27	1,840	37%681 W · 1,159 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85b8…c77abacked Yes	33c	114.19$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.42	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa329…db02backed No	70c	111.57$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.41	8	75%6 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	75cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c5d…5a0fbacked Yes	37c	100.56$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.78	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.15per pick	44cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,322	32.2%426 W · 896 L	-43.7wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0209…e1a8backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac16…4f44backed Yes	38c	99.99$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.99	230	35.7%82 W · 148 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x052e…ade1backed Yes	23c	99.77$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.88	283	29.3%83 W · 200 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30e3…700dbacked No	71c	97.28$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.21	10	60%6 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd342…1ad9backed Yes	49c	97.1$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.44	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b83…0a52backed Yes	35c	96.65$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.86	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…9e62backed Yes	13c	95.15$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.39	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	27cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae07…8059backed Yes	29c	90.59$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.27	435	25.3%110 W · 325 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5136…0e4fbacked No	49c	90.28$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.14	74	68.9%51 W · 23 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21c5…fb87backed No	73c	89.83$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.25	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	62cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…137ebacked No	50c	88.99$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.49	136	63.2%86 W · 50 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No	58c	87.49$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37	1,605	42.9%689 W · 916 L	-86.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c47…79f8backed Yes	28c	86.16$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.92	643	33.4%215 W · 428 L	+14.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes	36c	84.25$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.04	591	25.9%153 W · 438 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe155…45afbacked Yes	39c	81.06$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.94	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+5.1wins	+0.18per pick	28cpaid	+104.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes	32c	80.93$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.96	323	52.9%171 W · 152 L	+19.6wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe00b…f8a3backed Yes	29c	80.09$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.23	103	54.4%56 W · 47 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee5e…7f1cbacked Yes	29c	79.02$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.61	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	36c	78.74$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.07	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b5c…760cbacked Yes	37c	78.26$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.98	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-2.6wins	-0.13per pick	36cpaid	-42%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c63…93d4backed Yes	17c	78.17$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.49	10,354	37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L	+417.6wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd25c…c945backed Yes	27c	77.55$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.99	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x263c…6114backed Yes	37c	76.01$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.14	151	33.8%51 W · 100 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bf0…d2b3backed Yes	25c	73.12$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.51	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-3.5wins	-0.29per pick	54cpaid	-59%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x02bb…b7b9backed No	68c	71.21$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.94	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-2.2wins	-0.43per pick	63cpaid	-70.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x399f…e8d8backed No	59c	71.11$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.27	101	54.5%55 W · 46 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes	39c	70.73$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.44	195	41.5%81 W · 114 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e81…1b0bbacked Yes	52c	69.91$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.29	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc80…f224backed Yes	28c	68.42$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.09	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	36cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07ac…ab30backed Yes	37c	67.88$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.27	67	19.4%13 W · 54 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64a4…c103backed Yes	36c	64.83$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.12	110	38.2%42 W · 68 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa98a…a5a8backed No	61c	64.7$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.01	2,015	67.7%1,365 W · 650 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	68cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes	34c	64.65$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.74	743	38.2%284 W · 459 L	+17.8wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a43…26babacked Yes	17c	63.67$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	93	46.2%43 W · 50 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e6…7a4dbacked No	61c	61.58$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.29	1,699	60.6%1,029 W · 670 L	-24.7wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf607…7ca0backed Yes	48c	61.08$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.25	46	32.6%15 W · 31 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae8f…c820backed Yes	39c	60.37$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.71	635	38.1%242 W · 393 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09c3…5bf0backed No	60c	57$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4973…5527backed Yes	28c	56.61$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.85	300	46.7%140 W · 160 L	-8.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x826a…b27cbacked Yes	50c	53.04$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.33	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2328…e304backed Yes	40c	52.92$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.15	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-3.7wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d49…5ecebacked Yes	32c	52.17$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.47	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 1?this page
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or below on April 1?No won
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 1?No won
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 1?No won
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1?Yes won
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 1?No won
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 1?No won
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 1?No won
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 1?No won
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on April 1?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 1?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event