TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Nets, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$744,663
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$724,132

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $744,663 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x245b…00c5backed Nets17c247,135$43,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,083.5414052.1%73 W · 67 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8049…8f36backed Nets18c41,545$7,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,395.411323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Nets1c20,355$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Nets18c20,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Nets18c18,869$3,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,396.4523245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Nets19c10,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90035235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Nets0c9,064$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.158820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c8…fed1backed Nets1c8,852$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.693748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets6c8,693$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.754,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nets17c7,578$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.2296447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Nets18c7,526$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.841,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets18c7,150$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3081,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Nets17c6,656$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10017441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Bucks79c6,498$5,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.8361851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Nets18c5,556$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007050%35 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nets17c5,410$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.5381529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Nets17c5,215$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.2747028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Nets5c4,157$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9510235.3%36 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets19c3,895$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.114,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b0…a62dbacked Nets4c3,261$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.86933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+48.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Nets18c3,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54018239%71 W · 111 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25f3…abeabacked Nets18c2,647$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Nets1c2,417$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1748347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nets10c2,371$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.851,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Nets18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Nets17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34011649.1%57 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Nets18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36021951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8526…3b5dbacked Nets17c2,000$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3456636.4%24 W · 42 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Nets20c1,987$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.476249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Nets1c1,711$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.977211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa16c…910bbacked Nets3c1,649$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.13911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-83.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Nets2c1,470$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.311,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab1…54e1backed Nets12c1,400$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.992050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets10c1,338$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.811,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccce…2e6cbacked Nets1c1,305$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310341.7%43 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe91…7b3dbacked Nets18c1,222$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22019144.5%85 W · 106 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e3…e3f5backed Nets19c1,165$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.351136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick20cpaid+55.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Nets16c1,154$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.3816045%72 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7de0…7c66backed Nets18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040536.5%148 W · 257 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e0d…285dbacked Nets18c1,023$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.1440%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ca6…a33abacked Nets17c1,020$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd0a…1506backed Nets18c1,006$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18140%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Nets15c1,000$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.2156945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Nets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0999…016ebacked Nets4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013850%69 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Nets18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18036943.4%160 W · 209 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1068…508fbacked Nets3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304221.4%9 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Nets17c999.98$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17061835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ffa…92e2backed Nets17c979.97$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.591346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Nets18c868.92$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.511,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91bd…56babacked Nets6c836.97$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.42333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Nets12c834.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024038.3%92 W · 148 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nets13c825.34$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.345,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Nets18c825.32$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.9595049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nets19c823.82$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.853,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0835…7ac0backed Nets18c800$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1443917.9%7 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0856…e91bbacked Nets24c800$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1931637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Nets17c766.97$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6725833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets9c756.39$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.468,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01aa…e6f4backed Nets17c699.99$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Nets19c680$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.260834.4%209 W · 399 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Nets18c661$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.984656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ed3…bdf7backed Nets17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf28…72aabacked Nets18c600$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10813318.8%25 W · 108 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Nets18c594.44$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1072924.1%7 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Nets18c556$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0834227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Nets18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016136%58 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf573…43e2backed Nets18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b6c…b161backed Nets2c552$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.021050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80a9…ad8bbacked Nets4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209943.4%43 W · 56 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Bucks80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10025236.9%93 W · 159 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3e…942dbacked Nets17c499.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-52.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Nets18c475$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.594951.3%487 W · 462 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Nets4c400$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1613950.4%70 W · 69 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Nets19c399$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8169929.8%208 W · 491 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5f5…a33fbacked Nets14c384.79$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.373732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47f9…9cdfbacked Nets18c380$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a6…0b89backed Nets18c377.78$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Nets19c346$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7452432.6%171 W · 353 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56af…e2a4backed Nets6c325$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ea1…56f2backed Nets19c308$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5259131.1%184 W · 407 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Nets18c303$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.542,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Nets4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb15e…5111backed Nets24c295$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.854351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Nets19c282.41$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6640243.8%176 W · 226 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8313…1a6ebacked Nets9c281.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515536.1%56 W · 99 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x444e…31c1backed Nets19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018852.7%99 W · 89 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Nets19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014456.3%81 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Bucks80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5060444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cb4…f28cbacked Nets4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10248.3%2 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x718a…5d86backed Bucks80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509167%61 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Nets17c249.46$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4162347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef1a…d048backed Nets15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010943.1%47 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Nets15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012040.8%49 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3860…6ae1backed Nets7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146225.8%16 W · 46 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb465…0981backed Nets18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44a6…0b99backed Nets19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Nets20c181.92$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3827840.6%113 W · 165 L-22.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed74…a45ebacked Nets18c179$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e44…8b40backed Nets18c154.61$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.83955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.