NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b4fbfb74e5bcbce949f330096bc01e1743a320ca8e9a090a31c6330c09dc621
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 38c | 2,582$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.64 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 48c | 2,492$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.31 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7397…860cbacked Under | 57c | 1,900$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d30…c94fbacked Over | 43c | 1,900$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 1,666$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 60c | 1,087$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.6 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 63c | 859.92$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.33 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 46c | 808.44$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.88 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 716$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.1 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 43c | 630.74$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.14 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…7d5abacked Under | 65c | 382.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.24 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 41c | 348$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.68 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 35c | 231.17$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Over | 46c | 182$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf581…0892backed Under | 59c | 168.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.66 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 66c | 150.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 41c | 115$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 47c | 114$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…b6bdbacked Under | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 41c | 82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Over | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 39c | 79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…35b7backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 62c | 20.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7f…9485backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.51per pick | 15cpaid | +1,014%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5this page
- Nets vs. BucksBucks won
- Nets vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5Under won
- Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Under won
- Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5Under won
- Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5Under won
- Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5Under won
- Spread: Bucks (-10.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-11.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-9.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.