TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,355
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,356

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,355 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0f5e…9bd5backed Under53c2,200$1,166 inWon+$1,0342050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd499…c6b7backed Over47c2,200$1,034 inLost-$1,0342040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4a0…43cfbacked Under54c2,000$1,080 inWon+$9202356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3e8…29f1backed Under54c2,000$1,080 inWon+$9201526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc782…70eabacked Under54c2,000$1,080 inWon+$9201850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd1…da41backed Under54c2,000$1,080 inWon+$9202040%8 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4c…94fdbacked Over46c2,000$920 inLost-$9201428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-42.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x37f1…d157backed Over46c2,000$920 inLost-$9201947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1869…30c8backed Over46c2,000$920 inLost-$9202755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e6…265bbacked Over46c2,000$920 inLost-$9201850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba43…388cbacked Over45c1,900$855 inLost-$8551526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-47.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5bff…c39bbacked Under55c1,900$1,045 inWon+$8551844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c1,858$946 inWon+$911.949,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Over50c1,126$563 inLost-$56317250%86 W · 86 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under55c808$444 inWon+$363.61,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over45c562$253 inLost-$252.93,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Over46c539.87$250 inLost-$25036943.4%160 W · 209 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aed…38cbbacked Over48c480$230 inLost-$230.410652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under54c374$202 inWon+$172.042,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Over45c80$36 inLost-$3660834.4%209 W · 399 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over43c70$30 inLost-$30.0280148.3%387 W · 414 L-3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost-$2011051.8%57 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.