Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb958afc845f2331fbe746bd4321c72824373f12f28b1dce1b082d547679de42e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio State Buckeyesof Appalachian State Mountaineers, Ohio State Buckeyes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff0d…0381backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 5c | 6,194$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -91%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf28…72aabacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 17c | 1,710$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08b…e35bbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 6c | 1,200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc23c…3993backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 18c | 1,085$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 6c | 1,071$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 15c | 1,000$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.26 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 44cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…11c2backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 10c | 862.68$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb2…3f0ebacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 13c | 504.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…bb13backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 18c | 247.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aea…dcfebacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 12c | 242.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 15c | 240$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 8c | 219.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 21c | 213.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 24c | 167.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 74c | 135.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…702abacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 14c | 104.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…b4eabacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 21c | 97.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf7…836abacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 12c | 95.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…cdb6backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 36c | 56.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…604cbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 31c | 49.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c93…6a5ebacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 76c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesthis page
- Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 146.5Under won
- Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 148.5Under won
- Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-25.5)Appalachian State Mountaineers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.