TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x46b2…702a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+265.3%+$127.21
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$35.69
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+132%+$204.08
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.56
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.33
Nets vs. Magicbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+150%+$45
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+92.3%+$11.08
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Nets vs. Magicbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+155%+$23.25
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$14.8
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+35.1%+$9.84
Spread: Knicks (-15.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Nets vs. Pacersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+233.3%+$46.67
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$572.31
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Croatia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: France (-3.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spain (-3.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Jordan win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.53
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.31
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.54
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+376.4%+$51.99
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.62
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on November 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11.97
Will the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on November 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.54
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+400%+$40
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+125.4%+$18.81
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$22.95
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14.21
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$36.7
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-67.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+87%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-57.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$17.1
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.58per pick8cpaid+614.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+79.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+100.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+203.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahce vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+112.8%+$26.5
BC Dubai vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$22.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$24.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+66.7%+$9.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked QoR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$18.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2025-11-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA say "Trump" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.