TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Shopify Rebellion Blackof Shopify Rebellion Black, QoR
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,521
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,899

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,521 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba38…e406backed QoR41c24,212$9,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,880.6554751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3522…188fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black59c22,860$13,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,396.373342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black59c5,194$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,134.7178162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd31…8004backed QoR0c2,880$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8822047.7%105 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed QoR39c2,570$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.2717537.7%66 W · 109 L-14.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ec8…6ba2backed Shopify Rebellion Black71c2,123$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.861250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x697f…b756backed Shopify Rebellion Black59c1,445$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.4213345.9%61 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed QoR40c1,441$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.4327947.7%133 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed QoR40c1,354$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.7417448.3%84 W · 90 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed QoR41c1,206$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.3619040%76 W · 114 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeac5…cab7backed QoR41c1,133$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.357948.1%38 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Shopify Rebellion Black67c943.02$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.121,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed QoR37c917.94$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.4135331.2%110 W · 243 L-29.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed QoR29c880.72$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.1970251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Shopify Rebellion Black74c692.14$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.4113759.9%82 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed QoR30c686.4$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.0777929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black60c596.34$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.533743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Shopify Rebellion Black60c535.82$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.336762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed QoR23c411.52$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.67433.8%25 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Shopify Rebellion Black61c372.61$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.314346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Shopify Rebellion Black68c336.12$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.371,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12386747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed QoR41c296.45$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4925555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed QoR25c286.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.276725.4%17 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf74a…a91cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black69c284.24$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.95742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-36.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Shopify Rebellion Black60c276.53$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.612454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed QoR41c275.68$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.821855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed QoR29c250.63$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8726634.6%92 W · 174 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd507…a6ddbacked Shopify Rebellion Black60c224.48$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.793537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Shopify Rebellion Black60c204.08$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6322352.9%118 W · 105 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4148…4cdbbacked QoR53c196.82$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+90.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Shopify Rebellion Black59c191$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.312166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x094a…e4a9backed QoR30c190.62$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.192347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black60c187.07$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.83862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked QoR28c160.88$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.681,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black60c151.28$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.514555.6%25 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Shopify Rebellion Black60c151.28$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.514557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e2b…7fc1backed Shopify Rebellion Black63c142.79$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.832259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Shopify Rebellion Black60c136.66$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.273167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e00…ba80backed Shopify Rebellion Black60c136.64$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.661361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed QoR20c127.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2969722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Shopify Rebellion Black60c121.02$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.41966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black60c121.02$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.414168.3%28 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e2c…9642backed QoR15c115.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.98911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked QoR35c113.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3316842.3%71 W · 97 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Shopify Rebellion Black55c103.44$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1510237.3%38 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Shopify Rebellion Black60c100.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.215451.9%28 W · 26 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black63c99.89$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.965453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Shopify Rebellion Black60c93.72$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.173360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed QoR28c89.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7699846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed QoR38c88.22$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.763652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed QoR41c86.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6723055.7%128 W · 102 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Shopify Rebellion Black72c78.55$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.998158%47 W · 34 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed QoR37c73.44$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.136734.3%23 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51ca…3b08backed Shopify Rebellion Black60c73.2$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.281464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed QoR33c70.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.157517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x669d…3a77backed Shopify Rebellion Black60c70.27$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.111957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Shopify Rebellion Black60c64.42$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.776066.7%40 W · 20 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x990a…a9cebacked Shopify Rebellion Black60c63.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.43070%21 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed QoR41c63.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.916041.9%67 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Shopify Rebellion Black60c61.49$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.67163.4%45 W · 26 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7894…7b9dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black60c58.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.423751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked QoR30c57.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4945033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Shopify Rebellion Black69c56.02$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.375651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked QoR34c50.58$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2519661.7%121 W · 75 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Shopify Rebellion Black59c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4511454.4%62 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46b2…702abacked QoR33c43.91$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Shopify Rebellion Black72c43.66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0429151.5%150 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Shopify Rebellion Black42c39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.628828.4%25 W · 63 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Shopify Rebellion Black42c36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8326730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Shopify Rebellion Black67c35.89$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.691,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x197c…544bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black60c35.14$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.052572%18 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black60c32.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.886858.8%40 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Shopify Rebellion Black60c32.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.883259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdba8…5d91backed Shopify Rebellion Black60c32.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.881580%12 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6472…81e3backed Shopify Rebellion Black60c32.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.884362.8%27 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked Shopify Rebellion Black65c32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3215754.1%85 W · 72 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1e…522fbacked QoR37c31.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Shopify Rebellion Black61c30.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.927546.2%127 W · 148 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Shopify Rebellion Black61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75162.7%32 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1283…0fcdbacked Shopify Rebellion Black75c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Shopify Rebellion Black60c29.11$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6517555.4%97 W · 78 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ab8…c726backed Shopify Rebellion Black60c26.79$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Shopify Rebellion Black60c23.05$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.229651%49 W · 47 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4daa…8923backed Shopify Rebellion Black60c22.45$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.981560%9 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d75…12a6backed Shopify Rebellion Black60c21.43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.571560%9 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4266…6106backed Shopify Rebellion Black72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe89f…05e7backed Shopify Rebellion Black78c18.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6665…4776backed Shopify Rebellion Black60c17.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.035100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.