TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6665…4776

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Valorant, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 56 out of 100; worst UFC at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.94
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.68
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.73
Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$18.14
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.74
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.27
Bucks vs. Jazzbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.44
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.28
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7.74
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.2
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.13
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.3
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Devils vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Bruins vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.5
Lightning vs. Canucksbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.32
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.71
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.67
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.37
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.46
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Metsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$17.36
Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.94
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick73cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.5
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$6.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanxi Loongs vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.