MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc08d2929326a36a67883b20534dec401a88e2ff57b3f79d88ab670225809ef1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $288,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $294,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 54,634$25,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,159.89 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 49,922$26,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,964.17 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 31,061$14,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,422.87 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 25,000$10,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,249.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 19,766$8,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,185.63 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 12,260$7,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,023.05 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 10,868$6,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,455.88 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 9,948$5,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,323.76 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 9,137$5,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,746.26 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 8,751$4,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,025.46 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 6,904$4,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.47 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 5,903$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.83 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 5,850$3,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.95 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 5,792$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.7 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 5,461$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.95 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 5,010$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.08 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 4,567$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.84 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 4,500$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 4,426$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.92 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 19c | 2,660$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.4 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 2,458$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.78 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 2,454$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.21 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Boston Red Sox | 69c | 2,449$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.96 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 2,405$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.53 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 2,222$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.02 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 2,137$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.27 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 2,013$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.33 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,976$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.7 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 1,940$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.39 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Boston Red Sox | 72c | 1,850$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.7 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 1,624$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.69 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 1,585$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Boston Red Sox | 36c | 1,377$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.73 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 1,253$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.54 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,218$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.69 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,188$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.95 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Boston Red Sox | 64c | 1,127$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.67 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 1,077$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 999.97$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 967$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.47 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 920.61$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.75 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 876.77$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.17 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 854.08$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.08 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf2…3918backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 834.97$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 799.53$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.14 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 743.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.66 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 712$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.92 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 699.97$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.99 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 685.69$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 655.2$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.3 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Cincinnati Reds | 33c | 570.8$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.45 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 569.49$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.49 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 566.67$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.67 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e13…d6d0backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 561.79$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 559$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.19 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 522.83$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.73 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 498.82$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.73 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 496.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28e…86c8backed Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 429.77$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.01 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 423.36$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.35 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 416.33$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.97 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ce…0a8ebacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 390.77$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.94 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be5…603dbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 385.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 375.51$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…80ebbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 366.45$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 361.93$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.66 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 350$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.86 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…3bb2backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 333$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 320$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.2 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 318.78$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.89 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 312$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.92 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 299$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.17 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…ad81backed Boston Red Sox | 73c | 295.45$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 292.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 286.44$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 286$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.26 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 286$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.26 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 285$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 248.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 245$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 242.86$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 234.16$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.59 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 208$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…f879backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 207.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 183.38$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.86 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 183.38$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.86 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…67a8backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 183.38$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.86 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- NRFI: Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.