Fifa International · resolved market
Will Jordan win on 2025-11-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66127265cffab08141fc0f187a6c02433241b6334cd90d76fefc7c5445ce9a4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 2,896$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.21 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 1,447$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.05 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 7c | 926$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.06 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 43c | 904$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.11 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Yes | 31c | 816.15$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 34c | 619$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.21 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 15c | 611.65$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.96 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 66c | 575.09$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.81 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 13c | 497.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 30c | 494.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.49 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…702abacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 17c | 238.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 237.49$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.72 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 16c | 218.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 41.9%52 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Yes | 15c | 199.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 12.9%8 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed Yes | 53c | 144.87$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…e378backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 29c | 84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ec…2ec6backed Yes | 46c | 78.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 33c | 49.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef47…5c40backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jordan win on 2025-11-14?this page
- Will Tunisia vs. Jordan end in a draw?No won
- Will Tunisia win on 2025-11-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.