Fifa International · resolved market
Will Tunisia win on 2025-11-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae7234665214c9f401eab7a7f9a5d7c9babdcb412d4cdbf384b7a555fc1f2150
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 42c | 40,000$16,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,799.24 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,600 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 52c | 11,826$6,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,208.13 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Yes | 58c | 4,546$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 57c | 4,298$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.33 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 2,966$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.51 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 44c | 2,943$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.71 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 67c | 1,609$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.66 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 44c | 1,198$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.96 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 46c | 1,174$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.56 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…593dbacked Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.57 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Yes | 32c | 650$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 52c | 468.42$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.72 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 78c | 431$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.36 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 24c | 400.04$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.6 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…e305backed No | 29c | 350$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 73c | 347.62$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.27 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 68c | 306$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.83 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 71c | 290.02$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.2 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 124 | 41.9%52 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…7960backed Yes | 61c | 237.7$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…3682backed Yes | 47c | 208.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 218 | 50%109 W · 109 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 182.48$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.97 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 42c | 180.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 35c | 167.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 40c | 163.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 23c | 130$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.57 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 42c | 111.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Yes | 61c | 110.25$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 56c | 107.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 19c | 94.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.74 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 50c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 96 | 67.7%65 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 60c | 81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 49c | 80.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 52c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…df49backed Yes | 56c | 65.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 61c | 63.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 194 | 61.3%119 W · 75 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked No | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 70 | 70%49 W · 21 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bce…55f6backed Yes | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab7…0569backed Yes | 51c | 53.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4e…0fd9backed Yes | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f5…4183backed Yes | 46c | 48.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…86e1backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…6fb4backed Yes | 62c | 46.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…5b88backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…f4c5backed Yes | 52c | 30.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…96c0backed Yes | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…e12fbacked Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 60c | 24.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…90cabacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tunisia win on 2025-11-14?this page
- Will Jordan win on 2025-11-14?No won
- Will Tunisia vs. Jordan end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.