Fifa International · resolved market
Will Tunisia vs. Jordan end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a2900e280703e9c6f22025503dddbdc3c8db825f0d78b330f450021a60324e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbf6…62fdbacked Yes | 3c | 17,600$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 55c | 2,273$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.07 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 1,563$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.6 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 60c | 1,400$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…593dbacked Yes | 33c | 611.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 59c | 530.16$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.11 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 10c | 492$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 35c | 377.32$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.01 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 256$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…7960backed Yes | 27c | 203.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x396a…b1d3backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 33c | 183.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 68c | 181.17$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 66c | 174$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 65c | 153.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ec…2ec6backed Yes | 39c | 143.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 33c | 115$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 69c | 110$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 62c | 95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc1…2d99backed Yes | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 68c | 66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 35c | 57.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…3824backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…df55backed No | 73c | 49.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Yes | 24c | 47.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 62 | 12.9%8 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…f4c5backed Yes | 37c | 36.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…8acebacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…011cbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56a…a485backed Yes | 49c | 23.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ea…061bbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tunisia vs. Jordan end in a draw?this page
- Will Jordan win on 2025-11-14?No won
- Will Tunisia win on 2025-11-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.