Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2025-11-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94b8e0ac6a21352c7a5c1b81d1b5e4495dc024299f7315126b9d6636c121e191
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 54c | 5,548$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 4,586$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.23 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 49c | 3,098$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.94 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 45c | 2,556$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.14 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 2,221$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.22 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x952f…182bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,997$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9f…9648backed Yes | 48c | 1,927$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Yes | 55c | 1,491$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 54c | 1,007$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.96 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 867$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.82 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…b71bbacked Yes | 61c | 612.42$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 43c | 410.75$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.62 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…019dbacked No | 51c | 246.76$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 47c | 237.56$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.54 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 42c | 199.65$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.67 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…792bbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 51c | 176.85$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.74 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked Yes | 55c | 164.75$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Yes | 47c | 151.28$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 42c | 111$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Yes | 54c | 107.42$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…ed90backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…4421backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…9ab4backed Yes | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 55c | 98.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1114…d59abacked Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…0f44backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 49c | 69.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 59c | 67.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…8379backed Yes | 52c | 57.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 53c | 56.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 57c | 56.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b2…ae86backed Yes | 61c | 55.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…702abacked No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c0…ea7fbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e27…7ae6backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 59c | 34.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 52c | 34.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 57c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31d…2f13backed Yes | 56c | 33.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…4a7fbacked Yes | 57c | 33.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…c33fbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 58c | 29.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52ac…a995backed Yes | 58c | 26.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 57c | 26.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x301e…ab22backed Yes | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 41c | 24.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2457…54acbacked Yes | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 53c | 19.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2025-11-07?this page
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2025-11-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.