Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88937a168d6f96900c30e3687d8a840296ec2d27fb70e6dd2c35293f835873cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x352d…ef4bbacked No | 74c | 1,443$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b6…d8debacked Yes | 26c | 1,441$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 1,197$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.84 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b11…a0f9backed Yes | 31c | 650$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…b71bbacked Yes | 45c | 441.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 57c | 396.66$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.72 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…e02abacked Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked No | 62c | 106.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587f…1d4abacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 70c | 26.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 72c | 26.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 23.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301e…ab22backed No | 67c | 19.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2025-11-07?Yes won
- Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2025-11-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.