NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd531787defa7cf961bf22684ff38f0638e89f1abeb253c2ca5c46cb7394f6165
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Nets | 50c | 2,883$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.88 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Nets | 48c | 1,693$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.7 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Knicks | 50c | 1,667$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.48 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…86b8backed Knicks | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…702abacked Nets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Knicks | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f8…3c9fbacked Nets | 50c | 706.1$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Knicks | 56c | 662.15$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.73 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Knicks | 51c | 590$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.1 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Knicks | 51c | 564$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.36 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Knicks | 50c | 487$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.5 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Nets | 49c | 460.78$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.78 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 29c | 183$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Nets | 49c | 81.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks | 51c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Knicks | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Knicks | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…92bbbacked Nets | 50c | 46.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Knicks | 51c | 43.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd040…69c0backed Knicks | 64c | 40.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1b…7d5ebacked Nets | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Knicks | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Nets | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Knicks | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Nets | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbd…6ffebacked Nets | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)this page
- Nets vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.