Euroleague · resolved market
BC Dubai vs. KK Crvena Zvezda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa0cedbe1961be4d2df1be55c9af764a600cb172c1bfb50b57e0f5de895f4f59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BC Dubaiof BC Dubai, KK Crvena Zvezda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BC Dubai | 60c | 2,524$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.12 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked BC Dubai | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 40c | 1,511$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked BC Dubai | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked BC Dubai | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 39c | 985.56$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.05 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 47c | 515.17$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.13 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…6565backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 38c | 496$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…e848backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1469…aa70backed BC Dubai | 56c | 465.92$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 6c | 450.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 36c | 438.47$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e42…ca63backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 44c | 434.38$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked BC Dubai | 57c | 277.19$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.19 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…e547backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 43c | 212$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.03 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…702abacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 13c | 178.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 40c | 160$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…33bfbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e2abbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 44c | 114$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…2798backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…cea8backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 34c | 86.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…ed96backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed BC Dubai | 69c | 72.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked BC Dubai | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 44c | 59.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 44c | 54.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32b3…67cdbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 42c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6a…7771backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 46c | 43.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 46c | 34.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…647abacked BC Dubai | 71c | 34.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 34c | 32.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…1d13backed BC Dubai | 58c | 29.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 36c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…da80backed BC Dubai | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed BC Dubai | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.