Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Central Michigan Chippewas vs. South Alabama Jaguars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ce1916efd6277144cc7a575e5a65c9b84b929ad1ccbdace81961175d693aed3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Alabama Jaguarsof Central Michigan Chippewas, South Alabama Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked South Alabama Jaguars | 72c | 2,998$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.59 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…593dbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 37c | 2,262$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.62 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 28c | 1,789$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.75 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked South Alabama Jaguars | 78c | 1,601$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.58 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 25c | 1,154$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.11 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 29c | 876$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.04 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 21c | 754.76$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed South Alabama Jaguars | 79c | 754.76$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c277backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 20c | 660.41$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.96 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 33c | 600$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed South Alabama Jaguars | 70c | 463.9$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.67 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 27c | 439.53$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.11 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 29c | 273.69$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.37 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 33c | 248.66$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…04b8backed South Alabama Jaguars | 71c | 247$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebd7…70d4backed South Alabama Jaguars | 71c | 205.39$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked South Alabama Jaguars | 75c | 202.13$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 15c | 155.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +452.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cc…f511backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 18c | 121.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb09c…fe97backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 25c | 120.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef47…5c40backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 35c | 113.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 22c | 63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…842cbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…3a74backed South Alabama Jaguars | 71c | 56.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed South Alabama Jaguars | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 72c | 55.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…702abacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450c…e161backed South Alabama Jaguars | 79c | 26.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1d…1ae8backed South Alabama Jaguars | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 69c | 14.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. South Alabama Jaguarsthis page
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. South Alabama Jaguars: O/U 142.5Under won
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. South Alabama Jaguars: O/U 143.5Under won
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. South Alabama Jaguars: O/U 144.5Under won
- Spread: South Alabama Jaguars (-3.5)Central Michigan Chippewas won
- Spread: South Alabama Jaguars (-4.5)Central Michigan Chippewas won
- Spread: South Alabama Jaguars (-5.5)Central Michigan Chippewas won
- Spread: South Alabama Jaguars (-6.5)Central Michigan Chippewas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.