Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: South Alabama Jaguars (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fbe19369a950a8fc915e084b3c4c6653ca8818d0eafd639a706401e0fdb5eb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Michigan Chippewasof South Alabama Jaguars, Central Michigan Chippewas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x682c…85afbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 57c | 19,490$11,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,109.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7433…5930backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 43c | 18,838$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,737.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…c867backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 43c | 18,761$8,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,693.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe059…55aabacked South Alabama Jaguars | 57c | 18,109$10,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,322.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 57c | 401.3$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.74 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 43c | 398.45$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.1 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed South Alabama Jaguars | 42c | 284$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.53 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 58c | 284$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.53 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 44c | 140.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.58 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3be…8839backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 44c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bec…ec0bbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 58c | 30.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c52…fd98backed South Alabama Jaguars | 58c | 28.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6de…2bdabacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 44c | 27.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: South Alabama Jaguars (-3.5)this page
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. South Alabama JaguarsSouth Alabama Jaguars won
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. South Alabama Jaguars: O/U 142.5Under won
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. South Alabama Jaguars: O/U 143.5Under won
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. South Alabama Jaguars: O/U 144.5Under won
- Spread: South Alabama Jaguars (-4.5)Central Michigan Chippewas won
- Spread: South Alabama Jaguars (-5.5)Central Michigan Chippewas won
- Spread: South Alabama Jaguars (-6.5)Central Michigan Chippewas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.