TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Raptors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Nets, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,010,571
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,074,888

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,010,571 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Nets16c99,058$15,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,849.281,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6179…23fabacked Nets25c98,041$24,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,611.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Raptors71c55,845$39,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,939.35,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae5…8342backed Nets29c52,225$14,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,911.761346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e4…9241backed Nets17c30,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1003432.4%11 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Nets15c28,610$4,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,267.1174748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Nets15c28,048$4,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,133.022,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Nets16c25,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0008939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5312…a1f6backed Nets2c23,633$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors76c22,677$17,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,509.34,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Nets1c21,936$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.361,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Nets15c21,333$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.991,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Nets16c20,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20015841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Nets15c20,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Nets15c20,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.9935235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets17c19,684$3,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,346.2787144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Nets23c13,077$3,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,072.726038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Nets16c10,008$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.6334645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0140…9028backed Nets15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.944544.4%20 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Nets15c9,831$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.412,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Nets17c7,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27566250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets18c6,156$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.971,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Raptors74c5,989$4,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.452,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Raptors79c5,645$4,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.341,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Nets35c5,440$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.752254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d9…a6e1backed Nets12c5,351$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.955667.9%38 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Nets16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Raptors77c4,530$3,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.61,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Nets16c4,129$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64038649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Raptors75c4,098$3,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.721,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Raptors77c3,508$2,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.041,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41d3…80edbacked Nets15c3,508$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fc…bfadbacked Nets13c3,081$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.34166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick17cpaid-90.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Nets16c3,008$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.211354%61 W · 52 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Raptors76c3,000$2,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72544337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8526…3b5dbacked Nets14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.976636.4%24 W · 42 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Raptors77c2,846$2,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.183,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Nets16c2,081$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.0172648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Nets17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Nets17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34050239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Raptors74c1,992$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.321,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39c…2bbbbacked Nets16c1,811$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.8230%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Nets12c1,704$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.4434227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Nets18c1,653$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015244.1%67 W · 85 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Raptors72c1,652$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.0862539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Raptors61c1,600$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62422243.7%97 W · 125 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Nets3c1,562$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.628820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16da…ef29backed Nets15c1,465$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.7712960.5%78 W · 51 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ef8…8712backed Nets13c1,377$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1806048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Nets14c1,329$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.052,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Nets17c1,310$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.0713835.5%49 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Raptors70c1,291$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.544654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35fb…bae3backed Nets16c1,284$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Nets19c1,131$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.810533.3%35 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f5d…5c2cbacked Nets14c1,090$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.6540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Raptors77c1,063$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.341,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Nets15c1,035$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.9660834.4%209 W · 399 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Raptors72c1,014$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.465,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Nets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac01…2d77backed Nets13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010030%30 W · 70 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+41.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f4e…31cbbacked Raptors78c1,000$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22516750.9%85 W · 82 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e4…3030backed Nets14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Nets4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4067911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c2…39edbacked Nets14c999.94$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9910635.8%38 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Nets14c990$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.516730.5%51 W · 116 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9d7…de5dbacked Nets10c976.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003537.1%13 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xabcb…d8d7backed Nets3c968.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30219.5%2 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-41.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65f9…4dd7backed Nets29c899.61$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2605932.2%19 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Nets21c870.59$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18015228.3%43 W · 109 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7ee…1a2dbacked Nets18c833.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+149.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Raptors79c824.94$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.9985344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f3…a7dbbacked Nets16c800$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125229.1%2 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Nets23c791.81$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.9359743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae5…40e1backed Nets14c759.92$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.39450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+53.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Raptors73c750$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.5912040.8%49 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e5c…c9eebacked Raptors68c736.12$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.562075%15 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked Raptors68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2915461.7%95 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9160…0492backed Nets14c734$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.76862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+78.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Nets20c705.89$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1210226.5%27 W · 75 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eea…2625backed Nets15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008337.3%31 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Nets16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016136%58 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x991e…3190backed Nets16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008337.3%31 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0a…a3b9backed Nets16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc302…3157backed Nets14c612$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Nets15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9040243.8%176 W · 226 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Nets7c591.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.428783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Raptors70c542$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.61,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbe6…555dbacked Nets18c541.22$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.42922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06ba…2b97backed Nets14c532.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.62450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Raptors65c498.46$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.4617356.6%98 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x031c…0fefbacked Nets19c484.21$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Nets2c483.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4537…491dbacked Nets17c464.71$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Nets15c425.98$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.949142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6857…9f77backed Nets26c417.81$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071625%4 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf28…72aabacked Nets15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013318.8%25 W · 108 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc47f…94b4backed Nets24c371.21$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907731.2%24 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a2e…6200backed Nets17c370.96$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.762516%4 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x18a6…0b89backed Nets16c369.62$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.852948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Nets14c349.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9951651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.