NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc066a87cf249648f2467d65d512c03bc75a2b96b5ce472b6e25c0c45a5846a8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 1,173$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.49 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 998.02$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.92 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…4ebebacked Over | 52c | 900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 45c | 253.27$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.3 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 55c | 245$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.75 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…9b10backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 190.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.31 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 54c | 185.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…336dbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 175.75$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.91 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 31c | 151.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.79 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…908dbacked Over | 52c | 113.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Over | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…ada3backed Over | 73c | 104.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 81.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…5a06backed Over | 55c | 54.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2601…5d06backed Over | 53c | 36.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 48c | 32.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e33…7deebacked Over | 52c | 24.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…aec0backed Over | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…3ae9backed Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…03efbacked Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dda…5cbbbacked Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94db…26bbbacked Over | 52c | 21.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…4b15backed Over | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5this page
- Nets vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Nets vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Nets vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Nets vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Nets vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-12.5)Nets won
- Spread: Raptors (-13.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.