Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0d3400eff3e3522ce4c245f38c25fab62f20af5e002d75bccc54148ec16abdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d84…cf8ebacked Yes | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -52%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1879…b287backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 22c | 1,975$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.06 | 101 | 20.8%21 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…fd31backed Yes | 4c | 1,098$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…39b0backed Yes | 39c | 770.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x295b…0f1dbacked Yes | 55c | 765.92$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5209…b249backed Yes | 48c | 759.99$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20c…451abacked Yes | 58c | 703.13$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.55 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked Yes | 56c | 640.44$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.05 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 43c | 595.29$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.59 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 49c | 502.62$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.73 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…30e0backed Yes | 60c | 496.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 50c | 496.24$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 58c | 452.63$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.76 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 50c | 401.66$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.66 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…ba22backed Yes | 44c | 400.7$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.59 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf2…0b9abacked Yes | 67c | 398.73$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 48c | 389.63$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.1 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 67c | 368.96$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.93 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x293e…9962backed No | 47c | 357.78$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.71 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3de5…00ccbacked No | 37c | 353.87$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.87 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 55c | 339.3$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.31 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 48c | 320.73$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.68 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.03 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 53c | 286.8$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.58 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 44c | 283.26$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.18 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9715…6f82backed No | 66c | 251.8$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.54 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 52c | 246.79$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 50c | 227.86$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.01 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…108dbacked Yes | 50c | 227.4$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 63c | 222.25$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.91 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 45c | 221.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.55 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 60c | 218.78$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.74 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27dd…b696backed Yes | 45c | 216.75$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…3ac2backed Yes | 41c | 207.55$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04f3…0ffabacked Yes | 46c | 203.38$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x028d…feccbacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5efb…5e3bbacked No | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +47%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -12.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 51c | 187.69$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…9a02backed Yes | 55c | 181.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 43c | 176.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.23 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9a…e36abacked No | 50c | 174$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…2071backed No | 48c | 171$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…6525backed Yes | 66c | 170$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 59c | 168.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 47c | 164.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 39c | 163.07$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…1783backed No | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 153.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.57 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 33c | 150.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888f…23f5backed Yes | 65c | 150$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 68c | 148.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…d6f3backed No | 51c | 147.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.71 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf5…606bbacked Yes | 62c | 147.36$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.73 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa07…49f2backed Yes | 50c | 144.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc25d…67b3backed Yes | 63c | 142.62$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.19 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb65…90acbacked No | 48c | 142$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1b…a999backed No | 45c | 138.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.53 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 36c | 138.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9394…e78cbacked Yes | 51c | 132.74$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.09 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 43c | 128.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…030abacked Yes | 41c | 121.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 45c | 119.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…66f9backed Yes | 67c | 119.91$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 64c | 119.85$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 45c | 115.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 47c | 112.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…cf4bbacked No | 72c | 107.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6754backed Yes | 54c | 105$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 354 | 65%230 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…5bdebacked Yes | 52c | 103.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xff69…16b5backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d0…b129backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.37 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7e…8a3cbacked No | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5694…6052backed Yes | 62c | 99.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 27c | 98.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6850…d921backed Yes | 31c | 96.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 81 | 11.1%9 W · 72 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…b920backed Yes | 53c | 94.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 35%63 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…d1aabacked Yes | 55c | 93.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…2faabacked Yes | 33c | 91.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 47c | 90.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3efd…b982backed No | 50c | 87.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…b0f2backed No | 35c | 86.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 168 | 32.7%55 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17dd…056abacked No | 49c | 85.89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8110…c1babacked Yes | 47c | 84.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 50c | 82.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…e255backed No | 34c | 81.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Yes | 29c | 80.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…0c24backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 38c | 78.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…b254backed Yes | 23c | 78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 598 | 18.4%110 W · 488 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129c…0085backed Yes | 53c | 75.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5864…e473backed Yes | 55c | 75.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed Yes | 62c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or higher on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C or below on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.