Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f902e6b069422b2334ae6fcd2e2ab2f39578f4d07814b25e53e01e00a8b8d85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7e…35b7backed Yes | 38c | 2,705$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…ac00backed Yes | 38c | 2,480$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef08…05f5backed Yes | 38c | 2,473$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83f5…fa6ebacked No | 62c | 1,655$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98e…521ebacked No | 62c | 1,650$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700e…5367backed No | 62c | 1,648$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9715…6f82backed Yes | 32c | 1,563$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.43 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6614…8724backed No | 62c | 1,355$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…af53backed No | 62c | 1,350$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 65c | 960.64$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.35 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 59c | 786.99$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.56 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 62c | 614.21$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.68 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 40c | 579.39$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.79 | 101 | 20.8%21 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 7c | 452.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 328 | 18.3%60 W · 268 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 68c | 429$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.47 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 38c | 393.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.28 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 55c | 391.4$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.8 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 33c | 376.41$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.89 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 68c | 371.73$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 48c | 362.22$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.65 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 33c | 351.97$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.86 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…e181backed Yes | 27c | 343.72$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.92 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 54c | 320.35$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.68 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 40c | 308.87$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 48c | 287.98$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.07 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 32c | 286.77$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.8 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 55c | 275.02$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.54 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…b989backed No | 6c | 271.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…30e0backed Yes | 69c | 265.3$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.06 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 28c | 244.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…ca17backed Yes | 32c | 227.89$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.4 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 54c | 211.56$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…26babacked Yes | 39c | 205.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.55 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 52c | 204.42$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.23 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -12.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…9030backed Yes | 47c | 197.48$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.29 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 31c | 197.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.7 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 57c | 183.45$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 27c | 178.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b5…1948backed No | 54c | 167.19$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.86 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 50c | 162.98$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.83 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…7b99backed Yes | 41c | 159$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd802…d766backed No | 65c | 153.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 306 | 64.1%196 W · 110 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 29c | 152.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.72 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2df6…7c15backed Yes | 41c | 152$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed No | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888f…23f5backed Yes | 56c | 149.86$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.87 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 65c | 149.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a4…c103backed Yes | 35c | 146$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…fd31backed No | 55c | 145.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 71c | 140.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…34bdbacked Yes | 36c | 137.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 34c | 137.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.64 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 66c | 136.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.07 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6486…687abacked Yes | 39c | 129$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 54c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 45c | 122.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 33c | 121.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…6525backed Yes | 31c | 120$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed No | 57c | 100.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…8564backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 64c | 99.38$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a0…4a06backed Yes | 33c | 90$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…9c46backed Yes | 33c | 86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 66c | 85.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…d6f3backed No | 62c | 83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 34c | 82.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae07…8059backed Yes | 32c | 78.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 435 | 25.3%110 W · 325 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…278ebacked No | 69c | 76.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 36c | 76.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…ab30backed Yes | 35c | 76.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 35c | 75.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x129c…0085backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9394…e78cbacked Yes | 28c | 74.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 30c | 73.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 60c | 72.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 49c | 69.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 34c | 69.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 30c | 69.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…7227backed No | 62c | 69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Yes | 29c | 68.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 33c | 67.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 37c | 67.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 67c | 65.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 47c | 64.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae4…bd41backed No | 53c | 63.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 66c | 62.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…b254backed Yes | 30c | 61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 598 | 18.4%110 W · 488 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 34c | 59.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…4828backed Yes | 28c | 59.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…f709backed No | 59c | 58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…8c71backed No | 67c | 57.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe155…45afbacked Yes | 36c | 54.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 66c | 52.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…0a1abacked Yes | 67c | 51.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 44c | 50.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…7d74backed Yes | 29c | 50.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or higher on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C or below on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.