Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec12c0a303eac1e332e939e85d21d55ef29f1dd75f38356c46e8659a16985682
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb082…30e0backed Yes | 59c | 1,112$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.46 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 38c | 513.2$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.46 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…07cfbacked Yes | 6c | 499.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 399.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 44c | 354.79$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.66 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…f71cbacked Yes | 71c | 339.54$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…8a56backed Yes | 59c | 337.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 9c | 283.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 343 | 19.5%67 W · 276 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…2a56backed Yes | 48c | 277.48$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.47 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 63c | 273.78$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.94 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…216cbacked Yes | 49c | 265$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 49c | 247.24$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.86 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d0…2295backed Yes | 49c | 203.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x756c…66c7backed Yes | 39c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.06 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 48c | 193.42$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.58 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…deeabacked Yes | 49c | 189.24$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 1,072 | 36.6%392 W · 680 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 43c | 187.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.82 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6230…6debbacked Yes | 49c | 183.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ac…c0b5backed Yes | 49c | 180.82$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68c…779dbacked Yes | 57c | 171.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.66 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…b50abacked Yes | 44c | 157$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0057…b1c7backed Yes | 47c | 153.62$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.7 | 148 | 26.4%39 W · 109 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 51c | 148.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 53c | 142.04$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 42c | 132.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 43c | 131.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…2420backed Yes | 45c | 129.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 61c | 127.36$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 45c | 124.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 46c | 123.93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 36c | 120.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 43c | 113.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…ade1backed Yes | 45c | 112.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 29.3%83 W · 200 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…7379backed Yes | 40c | 109.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 456 | 19.1%87 W · 369 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 31c | 108.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 59c | 105.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Yes | 48c | 104.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 409 | 35%143 W · 266 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 55c | 100.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae07…8059backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 435 | 25.3%110 W · 325 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7e…8a3cbacked No | 52c | 99.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 56c | 98.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed Yes | 11c | 94.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 47c | 93.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 21c | 93.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 46c | 88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed No | 53c | 85.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…56ecbacked Yes | 60c | 83.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 301 | 41.2%124 W · 177 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 49c | 81.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked Yes | 25c | 80.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73d…565abacked Yes | 49c | 76.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbee9…a01abacked No | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…9cd2backed Yes | 45c | 72.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 47c | 71.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 58c | 71.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974c…7ba3backed Yes | 63c | 69.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…aab7backed Yes | 43c | 66.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed No | 38c | 65.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b0…298fbacked Yes | 54c | 64.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 146 | 26%38 W · 108 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…4e56backed Yes | 42c | 61.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc25d…67b3backed Yes | 58c | 60.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…978fbacked No | 58c | 59.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…befdbacked Yes | 45c | 58.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 54c | 56.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…5eafbacked Yes | 40c | 54.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 37c | 52.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 54c | 51.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 43c | 50.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…1954backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…9501backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…551ebacked Yes | 48c | 49.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 45c | 48.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1203…3947backed No | 53c | 45.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 156 | 39.7%62 W · 94 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fc…3c2dbacked Yes | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac63…1d1abacked No | 51c | 44.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a63…5eb1backed Yes | 39c | 42.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…95c9backed Yes | 28c | 42.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 46c | 42.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…ad99backed No | 37c | 41.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbb…c0abbacked No | 48c | 40.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked Yes | 50c | 40.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…333bbacked No | 59c | 40.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed No | 42c | 38.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecc…d023backed Yes | 57c | 35.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5580…8029backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6a…3774backed No | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 52c | 34.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 49c | 32.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…eb81backed Yes | 49c | 32.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…087fbacked No | 46c | 32.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 441 | 47.4%209 W · 232 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 51c | 32.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe0…919ebacked Yes | 62c | 32.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed Yes | 38c | 31.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a0…4a06backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on March 29?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on March 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.