Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on March 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcbb7de2a126409eada53359f074d4c98dbec3ca70b37e7c188a478a6c0f6612
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 11c | 1,089$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…30e0backed Yes | 49c | 655.9$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 44c | 510.28$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 8c | 510$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 343 | 19.5%67 W · 276 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 51c | 421.98$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.55 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…d6f3backed No | 12c | 416$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 35c | 384.85$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.53 | 330 | 58.8%194 W · 136 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 26c | 378.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 59c | 293.43$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.94 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 29c | 261.03$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.61 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcda…bb51backed Yes | 70c | 251.19$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.08 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68c…779dbacked Yes | 58c | 218.27$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.07 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae07…8059backed Yes | 21c | 190.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.34 | 435 | 25.3%110 W · 325 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6230…6debbacked Yes | 36c | 184.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 33c | 180.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 12c | 179.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.39 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 49c | 175.65$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.19 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 61c | 167.91$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.07 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 36c | 159.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b1…2d82backed No | 68c | 145$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 48c | 141.41$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xfedf…ee2abacked Yes | 36c | 138.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.16 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 31c | 135.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 27c | 131$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 31c | 117.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.58 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 22c | 110.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.76 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 28c | 108.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.95 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…8ecebacked Yes | 56c | 107.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b0…298fbacked Yes | 63c | 101.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 146 | 26%38 W · 108 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 75c | 100.09$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…95c9backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed No | 57c | 99.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 28c | 93.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 14c | 91.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.21 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Yes | 24c | 87.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 80c | 85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5374…d802backed Yes | 25c | 77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 26c | 72.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 35c | 68.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73d…565abacked Yes | 43c | 68.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…d0cfbacked Yes | 26c | 67.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…9ebbbacked No | 58c | 66.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd88…8bcabacked Yes | 24c | 62.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…216cbacked Yes | 79c | 58.63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 59c | 57.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b3…d3debacked Yes | 24c | 57.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 244 | 14.3%35 W · 209 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Yes | 80c | 53.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 43c | 53.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x756c…66c7backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed No | 26c | 48.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 133 | 15%20 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae3…5851backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…59e9backed Yes | 35c | 48.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 170 | 33.5%57 W · 113 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f10…0060backed Yes | 33c | 48.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 28c | 46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 28c | 46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 27c | 45.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 32c | 44.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked No | 46c | 43.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…3536backed Yes | 35c | 43.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…05a0backed Yes | 59c | 42.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 181 | 6.1%11 W · 170 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc25d…67b3backed Yes | 62c | 41.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 49c | 39.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…dbffbacked Yes | 36c | 37.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 39c | 34.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 70c | 34.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…087fbacked Yes | 35c | 32.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 441 | 47.4%209 W · 232 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…b708backed Yes | 32c | 31.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…9658backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Yes | 80c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 182 | 55.5%101 W · 81 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x657e…9fa5backed Yes | 79c | 27.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…0bd2backed No | 70c | 26.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…7e2fbacked Yes | 78c | 25.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 70c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…c2a5backed Yes | 79c | 23.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1f…01abbacked Yes | 76c | 22.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed Yes | 71c | 21.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243f…589ebacked No | 69c | 20.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ce…e92abacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…4162backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ea…998bbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…72ddbacked No | 69c | 19.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…9080backed No | 73c | 17.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0e6ebacked No | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf35…71e3backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +114.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on March 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on March 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.