NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96e8a4202fc012451a636bcdea518f85a395d7c9e0c1228777a3189ba509a6de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Bucks, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,672,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,699,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,672,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Raptors | 57c | 408,515$232,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175,661.38 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Bucks | 44c | 360,000$157,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157,600 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Raptors | 57c | 293,991$168,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,721.24 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Raptors | 55c | 284,968$156,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128,235.7 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bucks | 43c | 200,399$86,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,972.69 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Bucks | 41c | 180,604$74,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,277.56 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccca…3b2bbacked Bucks | 12c | 125,046$15,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,367.35 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Bucks | 42c | 120,938$50,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,991.09 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bucks | 43c | 95,338$41,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,029.09 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Bucks | 45c | 80,563$36,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,290.78 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8652…3ce4backed Bucks | 0c | 66,667$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Bucks | 0c | 58,815$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors | 56c | 40,584$22,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,856.96 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors | 55c | 35,275$19,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,797.43 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Bucks | 1c | 34,862$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.32 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Bucks | 46c | 32,002$14,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,690.4 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…fed1backed Raptors | 60c | 32,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,799.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Raptors | 55c | 31,257$17,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,128.66 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Bucks | 45c | 30,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Raptors | 62c | 30,000$18,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,399.97 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Raptors | 54c | 28,775$15,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,236.5 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Raptors | 64c | 27,121$17,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,731.18 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Bucks | 38c | 25,000$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bucks | 1c | 23,817$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.46 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…7e43backed Raptors | 57c | 23,600$13,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,148 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Raptors | 54c | 23,491$12,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,806.03 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e87…012ebacked Bucks | 43c | 22,492$9,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,671.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…eb0dbacked Bucks | 3c | 20,863$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.11 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Raptors | 62c | 20,500$12,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,804.97 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Raptors | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Raptors | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,199.98 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Bucks | 38c | 19,988$7,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,595.3 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Raptors | 68c | 17,877$12,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,778.42 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…7b82backed Raptors | 55c | 16,645$9,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,490.22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Raptors | 62c | 16,260$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,260.01 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Bucks | 45c | 16,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.99 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Bucks | 40c | 15,966$6,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,386.26 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Bucks | 43c | 15,581$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Raptors | 58c | 15,500$8,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,510 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Bucks | 0c | 14,961$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…4fdcbacked Bucks | 43c | 13,953$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Raptors | 61c | 12,787$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,986.92 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…630cbacked Raptors | 61c | 12,651$7,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,933.73 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bucks | 27c | 12,507$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.66 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed Raptors | 58c | 12,500$7,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Bucks | 38c | 12,345$4,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,691.1 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Bucks | 41c | 12,331$5,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,004.8 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Raptors | 59c | 12,290$7,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,086.37 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked Raptors | 55c | 12,200$6,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,489.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Raptors | 58c | 12,166$7,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,133.27 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Bucks | 2c | 12,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Raptors | 59c | 11,446$6,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,638.31 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Raptors | 60c | 10,669$6,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,216.54 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e78…4d28backed Bucks | 11c | 9,367$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Bucks | 1c | 9,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Bucks | 32c | 9,000$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.31 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Raptors | 58c | 8,621$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.69 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Raptors | 60c | 7,727$4,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090.66 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Raptors | 57c | 7,118$4,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.77 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Raptors | 60c | 7,082$4,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,813.46 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…1a8cbacked Bucks | 45c | 7,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 41c | 6,977$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.76 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…a53abacked Raptors | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…6d22backed Bucks | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Raptors | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.97 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Raptors | 57c | 5,750$3,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Raptors | 52c | 5,539$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.63 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bucks | 45c | 5,515$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.57 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Raptors | 59c | 5,509$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.22 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Raptors | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.55 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bucks | 29c | 5,314$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.52 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Raptors | 62c | 5,083$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.42 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Raptors | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Raptors | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Bucks | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Raptors | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.99 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…32a1backed Bucks | 39c | 5,000$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.99 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Raptors | 57c | 5,000$2,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.12 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Bucks | 42c | 4,845$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…5822backed Bucks | 45c | 4,714$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.81 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc172…47cbbacked Bucks | 46c | 4,652$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks | 0c | 4,424$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bucks | 44c | 4,262$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.08 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Raptors | 60c | 4,226$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.3 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc35a…e5d8backed Bucks | 44c | 4,094$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.24 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 72c | 4,052$2,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.59 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Raptors | 59c | 4,040$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.81 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…ac2bbacked Bucks | 23c | 4,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Raptors | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Bucks | 1c | 3,818$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Raptors | 58c | 3,760$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.8 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Raptors | 62c | 3,600$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Raptors | 60c | 3,474$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.52 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Bucks | 38c | 3,300$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.98 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 58c | 3,232$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.26 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Raptors | 67c | 3,198$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.81 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Raptors | 60c | 3,188$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.59 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…b6ffbacked Raptors | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bucks | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df6…4808backed Bucks | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Raptorsthis page
- Bucks vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Bucks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Raptors: O/U 235.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Raptors: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.