NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Raptors: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe068e6467f9da6ff4101b790ba670aa65a1fb59a24b6f20b739860099fd8babe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf42d…e7e4backed Under | 51c | 13,597$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,596.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…5366backed Over | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,674.99 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 7,346$3,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,489.17 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Under | 54c | 6,897$3,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.02 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 49c | 4,439$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.54 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 46c | 2,600$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Under | 55c | 1,508$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.6 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 1,366$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.12 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 50c | 1,152$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 52c | 860.55$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.07 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 47c | 839.01$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.58 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 48c | 526$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.48 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Under | 47c | 520$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.44 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Under | 52c | 500$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.35 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x669c…6c54backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dad…72cfbacked Over | 50c | 499.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Under | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…f97cbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1f…0027backed Over | 67c | 384.93$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Over | 49c | 380$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.2 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 51c | 378$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.22 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed Under | 53c | 333.77$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Under | 51c | 305.78$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.83 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Over | 47c | 304$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.92 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 46c | 277$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.42 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 47c | 201$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 35c | 184$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…fa34backed Over | 55c | 176$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 50c | 169$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…2286backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Under | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 31c | 141.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.88 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 50c | 129.43$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.72 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…3953backed Over | 50c | 126.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19a…3808backed Under | 52c | 84.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Over | 47c | 67.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Over | 49c | 67.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cb…9c55backed Under | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…f464backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…a58abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d21cbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Over | 49c | 32.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 264 | 39.4%104 W · 160 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Under | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…d7abbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…e7f9backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Raptors: O/U 237.5this page
- Bucks vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Bucks vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Bucks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Raptors: O/U 235.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.