TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Raptors: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Bucks, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$768
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$769

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $768 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf6de…95e8backed Raptors58c417$242 inWon+$175.1423047%108 W · 122 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bucks42c341.91$144 inLost-$143.61,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Raptors79c148.54$118 inWon+$30.7147448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Bucks14c100$14 inLost-$1463427.3%173 W · 461 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Raptors56c75.86$42 inWon+$33.632,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14bd…60a5backed Bucks46c57.76$27 inLost-$26.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2fd…49eebacked Bucks44c45.45$20 inLost-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ece…50f0backed Bucks33c39.45$13 inLost-$13.022441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5cb…9c55backed Bucks40c26.71$11 inLost-$10.87746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked Bucks46c26.09$12 inLost-$1217447.7%83 W · 91 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.