TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Platense win on 2026-05-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,089
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,267

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,089 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26f8…3452backed Yes49c5,941$2,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,911.061861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c5,507$3,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,293.878,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No56c3,867$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.395,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d57…18ddbacked Yes36c1,866$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No54c1,472$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.971,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes32c1,405$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.13315.2%5 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No60c1,159$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.171,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes47c957.45$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504022.5%9 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes46c869.57$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40046530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes11c835.28$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8882434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No57c796.89$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.841,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No62c763.65$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.7930847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008452.4%44 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes43c465.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3750746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked No48c447.92$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.921050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes32c438.42$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.756036.7%22 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Yes46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+63.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x44f6…663fbacked Yes50c395.32$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No54c372$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.671,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No55c324.28$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.361,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes50c300.2$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15076951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes13c244.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0114824.3%36 W · 112 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No55c231.14$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.691,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes34c199$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3625044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Yes50c192$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963948.7%19 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+32.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes29c186.47$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4350643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No55c175.98$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5234155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No65c152.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7363657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No63c149.36$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7113248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No64c136.22$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.061,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed Yes42c134.79$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.61862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No55c126.14$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.764969.4%34 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No60c120.97$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8494848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes26c115.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018743.9%82 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes42c109.52$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465322.6%12 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-33.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes48c102.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes48c100.7$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6541145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Yes41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No55c99.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.997149.3%35 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Yes52c95.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504822.9%11 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No56c89.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.281,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed No56c73.43$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.023444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No69c72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.328268.3%56 W · 26 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed No53c66.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.33234.4%11 W · 21 L-6.9wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-42.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc58f…130dbacked Yes47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed No64c58.84$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.315954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdca7…adf1backed Yes35c57.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef4…95c7backed Yes53c55.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.55955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+47.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x550e…0840backed Yes54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No58c53.79$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.592,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005a…1349backed No56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.571361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No58c52.82$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.211,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8da3…7c12backed Yes47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.561566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1491…11d3backed Yes54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.41per pick54cpaid-63.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…3abfbacked Yes45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Yes25c44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110826.9%29 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No59c42.9$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5999259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes47c42.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205143.1%22 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b80…8b39backed Yes46c42.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.696943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Yes46c42.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6819761.9%122 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Yes32c42.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.592857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked No48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.672142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No57c39.53$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1770055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No52c38.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4920055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f5b…e087backed Yes40c37.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Yes33c37.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.372544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes44c37.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.466043.3%26 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes40c37.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8871619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Yes40c36.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.588263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3815…6ce2backed Yes47c36.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b1…daa0backed No58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfbc…f670backed Yes45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5be1…3371backed Yes45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157160.6%43 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cbf…70a1backed No79c32.91$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.02450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-34.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed No59c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.12875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158540%34 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb633…871abacked Yes48c30.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Yes43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.92737%10 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No62c28.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.927748.1%37 W · 40 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed No52c28.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.612454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed No54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.784454.5%24 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1fc…ceabbacked Yes43c26.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes43c25.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1116266%107 W · 55 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3561…1bfebacked Yes48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No62c23.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8719264.1%123 W · 69 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…e106backed No75c15.89$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.