South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Platense vs. CA Peñarol end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83e1e8b48e5cbd9a67de1aeb92a920084724647602b973c01660e79bf6503801
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked No | 36c | 1,377$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 61c | 924.85$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.49 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 714.41$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.06 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 65c | 489.19$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.29 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Yes | 40c | 475$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 59c | 435.76$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.29 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked No | 35c | 301.44$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 20c | 256.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 59c | 199.74$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.14 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 66c | 152$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 50c | 136.84$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked No | 58c | 125.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…4194backed No | 68c | 121.88$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 66c | 111.4$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 15c | 110.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 60c | 104.85$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 101$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Yes | 33c | 100.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed Yes | 31c | 98.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.95 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 60c | 83.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 69c | 78.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 33c | 72.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 57c | 62.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 58.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 55c | 51.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 56c | 50.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 55c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 31c | 41.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 64c | 36.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…311fbacked Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed No | 68c | 36.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 30.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Yes | 67c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92b9…eb9dbacked Yes | 59c | 27.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 67c | 25.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5977…0c7dbacked Yes | 80c | 24.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 51c | 22.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 68c | 21.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…20a6backed Yes | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Platense vs. CA Peñarol end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-05-07?No won
- Will CA Platense win on 2026-05-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.