MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf262c56784f6a893d1f609f89ff725c6ab1a66ced0b09fc2970e258d2dc98cc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Cleveland Guardians, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $565,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $642,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $565,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 166,546$71,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,215.95 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 94,640$52,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,023 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 78,234$44,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,593.2 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 45,000$19,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,650 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 33,547$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,547.08 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 22,365$4,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,674.48 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 20,194$14,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,789.83 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 17,136$9,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,545.8 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,550 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 15,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,899.97 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 13,954$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,953.77 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 26c | 6,854$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.68 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 6,672$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.49 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 6,534$2,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,789.9 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 6,444$2,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,601.27 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…df70backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 6,437$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 74c | 4,100$3,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 3,720$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.93 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cincinnati Reds | 63c | 3,112$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.66 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 3,080$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.63 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Cincinnati Reds | 69c | 2,917$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.95 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 2,748$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.69 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 2,572$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.51 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 2,420$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.6 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 2,222$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.54 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cincinnati Reds | 79c | 1,936$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.48 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8c00backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 1,869$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.49 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,775$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.74 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 1,643$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.79 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 1,598$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.49 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 11c | 1,593$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.53 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,385$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.92 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…6033backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,378$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.44 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,375$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.59 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 1,359$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cincinnati Reds | 68c | 1,274$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.54 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,270$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.7 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,173$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.09 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 1,157$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.05 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 1,157$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.87 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,070$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.1 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 24c | 1,069$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.06 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,055$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.6 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 79c | 1,051$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.76 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 13c | 957$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.35 | 369 | 32.8%121 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd545…7d3bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 917$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa94c…3cd9backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 916$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 915.44$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.33 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cleveland Guardians | 5c | 914.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 891.53$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.04 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cincinnati Reds | 67c | 885.88$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.78 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 879.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.43 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 842.28$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.3 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6c…8759backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 840.57$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Cleveland Guardians | 5c | 834$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 800$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 780$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.5 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 759.54$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.25 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Cleveland Guardians | 20c | 693.77$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.54 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 659.4$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.45 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 609.14$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.83 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 587.67$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.34 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 522.68$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.32 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 505.14$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.34 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc6…095fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 503$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.71 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 478.92$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.52 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 470$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.89 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 67c | 444.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Cincinnati Reds | 66c | 443.46$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.82 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 440$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.4 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Cleveland Guardians | 13c | 423.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 416.94$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.94 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 406.49$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.92 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Cleveland Guardians | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 370$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.68 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 368.1$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.13 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Cleveland Guardians | 13c | 337.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 335.52$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 333.49$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.98 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 325$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.07 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 318.77$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.69 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 301.72$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…0bf3backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 301.3$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.7 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 30c | 289.87$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Cincinnati Reds | 63c | 288.11$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a34…6c6cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Cincinnati Reds | 77c | 268.51$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 254.51$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.07 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Cincinnati Reds | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 248.21$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.48 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 68c | 245$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.83 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 240$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 236.49$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.34 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 20c | 234.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.