Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d0342ee8736426894b32af135464dde76aa413d2e53983935d4078c6352f509
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $475,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $527,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $475,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 1c | 132,534$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.34 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…f601backed No | 59c | 48,332$28,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,515.84 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 33,036$16,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,170.15 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed No | 59c | 24,400$14,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,395.77 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 19,778$4,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,690.03 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 41c | 16,705$6,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,855.95 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 41c | 12,195$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,195.12 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 59c | 11,152$6,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,617.9 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 41c | 11,149$4,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,578.18 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 11,047$5,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,496.5 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 59c | 10,381$6,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,155.32 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…2617backed No | 31c | 8,039$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.93 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 10c | 7,006$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.95 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 41c | 6,636$2,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,915.24 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 6,063$3,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,637.82 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 46c | 5,993$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,265.82 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 79c | 4,020$3,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.76 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 64c | 3,671$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.22 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 40c | 3,509$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.1 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 59c | 3,356$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.75 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…4418backed Yes | 41c | 3,090$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.24 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…6704backed Yes | 43c | 3,059$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.56 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 42c | 2,869$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.67 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 43c | 2,840$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.85 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed No | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…5496backed Yes | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…128dbacked Yes | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 55c | 2,368$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.31 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 76c | 2,176$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.6 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c2…13d2backed Yes | 75c | 2,121$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.68 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Yes | 45c | 1,801$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.67 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed No | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 16c | 1,581$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.42 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x128b…bee9backed Yes | 69c | 1,523$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.21 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed No | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 72c | 1,313$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.52 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 59c | 1,300$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.86 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…d4a0backed Yes | 56c | 1,287$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.44 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef2…a060backed Yes | 74c | 1,279$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.7 | 105 | 68.6%72 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabff…9e8fbacked Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 77c | 1,159$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.5 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked Yes | 56c | 1,071$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.07 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 59c | 1,025$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.92 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked Yes | 52c | 970$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.2 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 60c | 900$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 59c | 892$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.08 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…a2cebacked No | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 56c | 805.84$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.27 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 60c | 689.97$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.24 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 27c | 655.93$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.43 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 43c | 650.44$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.75 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 31c | 578$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.28 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 44c | 551.69$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Yes | 73c | 546.58$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.58 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 58c | 530.97$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.73 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3e…061cbacked Yes | 41c | 524.39$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.39 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 40c | 512$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.2 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb79…47a9backed Yes | 41c | 509$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.31 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 211 | 66.4%140 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e0…32dfbacked Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…dd3abacked Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed0…6383backed Yes | 40c | 478$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0598…3d83backed Yes | 63c | 474.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.93 | 185 | 54.6%101 W · 84 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d4…453bbacked Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920f…10d5backed Yes | 41c | 463.41$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.41 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…0187backed No | 57c | 439.97$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.98 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742e…99b2backed No | 37c | 436.35$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…76abbacked Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Yes | 18c | 429.19$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.25 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 33c | 420.08$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.42 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…4bf5backed Yes | 41c | 414.63$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.63 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705a…3585backed No | 60c | 406$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x139d…db19backed Yes | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.34per pick | 42cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb976…5876backed Yes | 76c | 393.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.32 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 57c | 380$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.6 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 48c | 359$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.61 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 57c | 356.38$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.22 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…0fc0backed Yes | 44c | 355.19$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.19 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 42c | 325.16$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.84 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad3d…a814backed No | 60c | 296.4$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 60c | 294$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 46c | 291.87$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.09 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61de…ed31backed Yes | 57c | 291.23$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.23 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 60c | 288$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 60c | 285.45$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.57 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 37c | 282.52$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.85 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 43c | 259.69$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.46 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?this page
- Brazil leading at halftime?No won
- Norway leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.