Fifa International · resolved market
Norway leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae3769a3b29f2fa6e319bff9dc938a7da00dd6ec0693113bb5b8c8703ddd6b13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $332,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $334,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 20c | 43,902$8,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,780.3 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 40,717$5,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,038.86 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 17,505$14,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,501 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…6002backed Yes | 20c | 12,500$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…df62backed Yes | 19c | 10,651$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.69 | 234 | 27.8%65 W · 169 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…ae1dbacked Yes | 22c | 7,789$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.3 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654a…cc32backed Yes | 17c | 5,882$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…fff9backed Yes | 20c | 4,890$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 22c | 4,545$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 20c | 4,500$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.81 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 15c | 3,750$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 80c | 3,700$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…8b0bbacked Yes | 8c | 3,212$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.77 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 80c | 3,161$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.19 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 19c | 2,500$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.99 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Yes | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 19c | 2,329$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.51 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 80c | 2,250$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed Yes | 7c | 2,222$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.27 | 190 | 20.5%39 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 31c | 2,085$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.4 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes | 5c | 2,030$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 18c | 1,899$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.68 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb79…47a9backed Yes | 18c | 1,875$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.57 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,823$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.52 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b98…5beabacked Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa451…449ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,775$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,481$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.2 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 1,317$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.36 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 13c | 1,229$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.7 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c6…545bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,137$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…2b7bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,037$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.16 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330a…0e45backed Yes | 20c | 1,024$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd99c…2efdbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 153 | 12.4%19 W · 134 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 8c | 963.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.02 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 76c | 885.79$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.59 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 17c | 794.25$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.57 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…32afbacked Yes | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 127 | 26.8%34 W · 93 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 3c | 749.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 12c | 748$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.16 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 4c | 737.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 13c | 699.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 77c | 697.88$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.91 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 61c | 654.69$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.33 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 10c | 601.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked No | 78c | 597.94$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.46 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes | 8c | 587.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 362 | 34%123 W · 239 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 11c | 583.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 61c | 549.78$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.6 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Yes | 19c | 541.89$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 19c | 525.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…c482backed No | 73c | 506.85$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.85 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 170 | 52.9%90 W · 80 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 8c | 499.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Yes | 19c | 499.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 289 | 45.3%131 W · 158 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Yes | 11c | 498.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd989…fb4cbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…e264backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd366…0184backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…5541backed Yes | 4c | 449.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…dacabacked Yes | 13c | 449.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 193 | 24.9%48 W · 145 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf313…9ea6backed Yes | 19c | 434.4$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.54 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 12c | 410.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 9c | 407.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff14…dd5bbacked No | 76c | 394.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5626…80f0backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 1.6%1 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 80c | 380$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 80c | 376$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 10c | 375.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 21c | 372.82$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.01 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 80c | 312$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 80c | 311.67$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 80c | 311.62$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…186bbacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 19c | 299.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0d…72fbbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x078e…9d94backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b1…15f7backed Yes | 7c | 277.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7195…f4eebacked Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4665…23a8backed Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099e…b3c1backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d2…9377backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Yes | 10c | 241$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1411…631dbacked Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 19c | 220$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…69e3backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 67c | 217.31$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes | 5c | 216.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 308 | 18.5%57 W · 251 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 13c | 201.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27dc…3573backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…d692backed Yes | 14c | 193.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Yes | 24c | 187.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 384 | 37%142 W · 242 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 13c | 185.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway leading at halftime?this page
- Brazil leading at halftime?No won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.