MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3bc434d5e0cdbbae789c494bba5a718014eab813fe7db2a00543125e185a888
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Arizona Diamondbacks, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $265,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $276,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 98,272$51,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,101.52 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 27,931$13,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,442.81 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 14,797$5,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,440.27 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 14,679$7,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,643.54 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 9,382$4,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,601.65 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 7,371$3,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700.7 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 5,500$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.95 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 4,837$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,558.86 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.66 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.16 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 2,759$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.27 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 2,675$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.17 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 2,266$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.73 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 2,086$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.37 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 1,574$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.77 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 1,537$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.41 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 76c | 1,463$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.78 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 1,132$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 1,065$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.47 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 1,003$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.06 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 869.68$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.23 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 786.17$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.81 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 707.25$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.46 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 698.08$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.39 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 696.86$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.8 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 691$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.48 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 682$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.64 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 677.9$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.88 | 132 | 64.4%85 W · 47 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 607.58$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.92 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 538.5$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.03 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 7c | 500.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 467.19$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.94 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 417.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.31 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 68c | 404$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.72 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5923…04b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 399.74$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 399.72$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.84 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 67c | 378.74$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.76 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 350.88$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.58 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 344.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.06 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 320$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.31 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 319.94$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.17 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 295.13$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.95 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 283.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.13 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 282.11$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.41 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…c5c3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 255.77$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.46 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 74c | 254$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.96 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 248.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.22 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 67c | 241.15$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…ea98backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 67c | 216.87$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.3 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…6561backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 214.66$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…235ebacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 212.11$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.56 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc6…095fbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 211$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.61 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 208.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.32 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 208$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.35 | 704 | 50.1%353 W · 351 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 196.92$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 190$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 181.72$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.53 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a7…10f0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 181.18$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 178.5$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.78 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 6c | 178.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 24c | 172.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 164.25$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 162.01$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1884…b7a5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 160$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 577 | 58.6%338 W · 239 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…8f92backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 151.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 69.4%100 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 143$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 142.79$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 139.65$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 135.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 129.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 119.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.44 | 497 | 62.2%309 W · 188 L | +38.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 17c | 117.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 113.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 112.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 17c | 110.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…091fbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 110$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…cc57backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 103.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e66…9d11backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 101.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.71 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 17c | 101.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 100.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…dc0bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 99.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x967f…a5d9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 67c | 96.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 143 | 72.7%104 W · 39 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64be…5df3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 95.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 15.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.