MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf41cd6adb7621774418cb7b1bd4f4af742db92bd090a39c3fc4153fb48ca0d87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Los Angeles Dodgers, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $659,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $691,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $659,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 352 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed New York Mets | 42c | 192,231$80,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,151.02 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed New York Mets | 46c | 65,944$30,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,719.2 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 57,609$25,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,201.77 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 61c | 53,454$32,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,019.61 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 45,378$22,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,810.75 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 40,435$23,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,445.81 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 30,000$17,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,580 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 24,485$14,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,282.32 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 22,422$13,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,004.76 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…6561backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 0c | 20,135$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Mets | 50c | 17,023$8,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,540.25 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 12,978$5,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,218.52 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 12,000$7,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,080 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 10,552$7,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,279.34 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 9,999$5,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.42 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 9,600$4,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 17c | 6,462$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.09 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets | 26c | 5,057$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,725.03 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 4,974$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.91 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed New York Mets | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.96 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 80c | 4,497$3,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,582.33 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 4,357$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.04 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 4,121$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 3,964$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338.81 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 20c | 3,645$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.11 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 3,450$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked New York Mets | 61c | 3,123$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.56 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 57c | 2,577$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.52 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked New York Mets | 40c | 2,564$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.66 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 46c | 2,328$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.95 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 2,205$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 41c | 2,198$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.33 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbac…19efbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 2,060$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Mets | 36c | 2,017$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.6 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 1c | 1,990$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 1,989$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.62 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 1,883$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.87 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…df44backed New York Mets | 65c | 1,750$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e73…b728backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 2c | 1,711$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed New York Mets | 30c | 1,698$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.87 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Mets | 33c | 1,609$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.43 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 79c | 1,598$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.46 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed New York Mets | 42c | 1,555$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.9 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66aa…3ebebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 1,498$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 1,427$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.42 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 48c | 1,398$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.9 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 3c | 1,319$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…5909backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 1,221$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked New York Mets | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.47 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…a47dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 1,103$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37b…3802backed New York Mets | 32c | 1,036$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 1,024$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.16 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…10f5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 959.23$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.28 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6319…d371backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 33c | 910$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 900$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 23c | 846.11$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 828.96$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.9 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 822$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.98 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 820$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked New York Mets | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed New York Mets | 18c | 799$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.18 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 29c | 794.09$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked New York Mets | 43c | 793.8$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.89 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 787$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.33 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 744.67$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.92 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 727.13$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.24 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 722.44$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.26 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed New York Mets | 43c | 704.47$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.55 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…6486backed New York Mets | 56c | 701.48$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed New York Mets | 53c | 700$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.66 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 690$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.2 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked New York Mets | 65c | 640$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed New York Mets | 42c | 638.09$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.06 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed New York Mets | 20c | 619.2$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.36 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 612.18$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.23 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 584.02$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 11c | 583.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 561.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 24c | 560$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.8 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d1…5407backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 2c | 555.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc84…4871backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 10c | 551.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 550$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets | 52c | 502.98$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.98 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 477.15$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.19 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed New York Mets | 42c | 476$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.08 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsthis page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.