MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cec41dffc5ab45aa5e3aa4c6c102e7d367d11cdc2654ece05ad45a6b9e7c0f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 65c | 21,788$14,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,547.68 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…b16bbacked Under | 33c | 15,229$5,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,062.5 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Under | 46c | 14,122$6,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,496.02 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 59c | 7,283$4,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,988.91 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 5,263$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.38 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 54c | 3,047$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.4 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 59c | 1,219$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.7 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 57c | 1,024$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.32 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 52c | 573.87$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.3 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 55c | 288$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 53c | 281.7$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.41 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 274$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Over | 55c | 253$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 44c | 218$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 50c | 198.48$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 57c | 193$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 48c | 181.09$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 31c | 180$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 69c | 180$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 55c | 130$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.02 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 68c | 119.14$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 32c | 118.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 54c | 118.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.96 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 69c | 104.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over | 31c | 104.77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 58c | 99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Under | 49c | 98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 52c | 97.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 69c | 92.32$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 69c | 92.32$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 55c | 83.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 46c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8757…8b54backed Under | 54c | 77.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 45c | 70.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 51c | 64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 36c | 63.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Over | 54c | 61.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 54c | 58.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 67c | 54.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 54c | 53.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 44c | 50.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 68c | 48.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Under | 46c | 47.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Over | 53c | 46.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 69c | 46.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Over | 56c | 45.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…bb7bbacked Under | 44c | 42.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 60c | 41.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 51c | 36.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Over | 55c | 35.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 57c | 30.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 50c | 29.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Over | 55c | 26.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 50c | 26.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Over | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Over | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac4…356fbacked Over | 49c | 21.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 20.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York MetsNew York Mets won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.