MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1960317d906b71e918a5f27abd23c0b40901d023ce7f2f8c8b25bd82669fed04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Los Angeles Dodgers, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked New York Mets | 54c | 16,091$8,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,401.76 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 7,895$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 56c | 5,649$3,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.05 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 18c | 5,081$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.66 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 4,073$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.69 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 2,113$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.6 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 51c | 743.97$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.13 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 602.83$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.31 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 53c | 569.39$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.13 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 491$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.68 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed New York Mets | 55c | 477.26$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.04 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 19c | 454.63$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed New York Mets | 53c | 450$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 439.59$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.9 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 435$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.33 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Mets | 54c | 432$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.78 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 422$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 393.6$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.06 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 294.89$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.35 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 288$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.36 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 276.52$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 266.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.49 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 194.38$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.29 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 187$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed New York Mets | 55c | 185$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked New York Mets | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 160.61$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.64 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed New York Mets | 53c | 157.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 119.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 116.15$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed New York Mets | 61c | 89.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 83.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed New York Mets | 53c | 74.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 74.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 73.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882d…be85backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 69.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 59.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 49.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 43.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked New York Mets | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked New York Mets | 58c | 34.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…c664backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | -46.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…cc57backed New York Mets | 44c | 26.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed New York Mets | 55c | 25.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed New York Mets | 59c | 25.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…e7d8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 24.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed New York Mets | 48c | 24.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 21.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4404…cda8backed New York Mets | 58c | 18.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed New York Mets | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York MetsNew York Mets won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.