MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5421dd8f853fb10ff0955333ac8df40f2a8ef1ef23e32ec814e1bf13499164c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 19,988$10,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,066.5 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 12,888$6,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,390.74 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Under | 54c | 5,860$3,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,164.24 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 3,132$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.91 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 43c | 3,033$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.61 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 44c | 2,131$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.55 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Under | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 44c | 1,144$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.18 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 1,067$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.51 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Under | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Under | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Under | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 7.2%5 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Under | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…0ea8backed Under | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 7%4 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +83%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 45c | 990$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.5 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 44c | 900$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 45c | 750$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.25 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Over | 46c | 631.7$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.12 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 54c | 620$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.2 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 43c | 603$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.67 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 44c | 536.19$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.85 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 14c | 526$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 54c | 515.17$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.98 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 426$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.17 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 389$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.82 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…a624backed Under | 65c | 370.34$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.72 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 57c | 328.07$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.07 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 37c | 281.08$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.08 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 46c | 273.16$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 45c | 273$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.15 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 48c | 213.31$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.97 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 60c | 199.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.66 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 37c | 198.95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.34 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 42c | 170$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 46c | 152.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.18 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Over | 45c | 137.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.63 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 54c | 130.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 46c | 88.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 37c | 80.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 46c | 69.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 45c | 68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 45c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over | 42c | 56.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 51c | 55.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Over | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 54c | 54.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Over | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 53c | 53.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 51c | 42.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Under | 59c | 40.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 46c | 38.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 40c | 36.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 61c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 60c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…cc57backed Over | 45c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Over | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 52c | 30.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bed…c30bbacked Under | 63c | 30.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 47c | 29.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Under | 56c | 27.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Under | 51c | 27.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 54c | 27.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 54c | 25.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 52c | 25.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Over | 45c | 24.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 51c | 23.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 59c | 23.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 53c | 19.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York MetsNew York Mets won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.