MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf126490c7e2d567eb1c4f1cf7c22ffb61c888fd86fedbd1e83eec0a9e02ca2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Arizona Diamondbacks, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $719,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $757,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $719,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 444 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 201,031$72,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,541.94 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 119,787$69,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,310.71 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 100,844$44,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,371.27 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 100,000$55,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,400 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 72,999$51,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,710.12 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 59,455$24,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,971.19 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 28,056$13,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,084.77 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 22,222$12,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,999.9 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 16,443$9,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,342.15 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 13,924$7,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,426.3 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 11,102$4,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,725.38 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc163…aed8backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 11,043$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,542.63 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.96 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 9,753$5,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,674.38 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 15c | 8,826$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Washington Nationals | 33c | 8,182$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,481.82 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bc…f729backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 8,034$3,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,534.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff6…3f44backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 8,033$4,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,534.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 7,028$3,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,141.19 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 6,710$3,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.17 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 5,166$3,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.91 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 4,978$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.26 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 4,869$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.78 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 70c | 3,821$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.46 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.83 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 3,204$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.62 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 3,120$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.77 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 3,024$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.56 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 3,023$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 2,539$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.3 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 2,250$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.5 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 2,230$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.49 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,942$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.58 | 300 | 40.7%122 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 1,910$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.74 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 1,871$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.42 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 1,806$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.06 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 1,804$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.79 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.22 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Washington Nationals | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 24c | 1,709$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,705$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.09 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 1,682$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.26 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 67c | 1,674$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.97 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 1,653$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.72 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 1,555$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.1 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Washington Nationals | 59c | 1,505$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.08 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,428$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.2 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 1,362$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.74 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 26c | 1,286$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.1 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 1,230$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.36 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,107$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.76 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5120…b26bbacked Washington Nationals | 71c | 1,052$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.87 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 1,051$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.86 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 1,024$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.8 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,014$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.11 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 1,000$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.69 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 1,000$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Washington Nationals | 74c | 968.26$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.13 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…e67bbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 918.45$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.44 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 914.88$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.78 | 132 | 64.4%85 W · 47 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93c0…1f4ebacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 883.93$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 852.27$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 846.97$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.47 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 801.8$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.06 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 625$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 11c | 616.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.71 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…3cc1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 598$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.08 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 579$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.35 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 575$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 548.64$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.17 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 13c | 542.77$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee2…e88fbacked Washington Nationals | 61c | 537.54$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.64 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Washington Nationals | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Washington Nationals | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 485.8$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.61 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 482.14$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.14 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 479.23$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.24 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 451.56$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.17 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington NationalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.